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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 14, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Los Angeles Kings 5, Edmonton Oilers 0

Away

Los Angeles Kings

5

Final

Home

Edmonton Oilers

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 86% of the time.

EDM winsLAK wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
LAK312113111536
EDM090408021

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 2:55LAKWarren FoegeleGWGAssists: Phillip Danault, Trevor Moore · Snap, 0.22 xG1–0
  2. P1 9:26LAKQuinton ByfieldPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–0
  3. P1 18:45LAKVladislav GavrikovAssists: Trevor Moore, Warren Foegele · Snap, 0.07 xG3–0
  4. P2 7:43LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.10 xG4–0
  5. P3 8:13LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.08 xG5–0
Penalties (21)
  1. P1 0:48EDMEvan Bouchard: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 5:07LAKPhillip Danault: Bench2 min
  3. P1 8:33EDMJoshua Brown: High sticking2 min · PPG
  4. P1 9:47EDMConnor Brown: Roughing2 min
  5. P1 12:29LAKWarren Foegele: Slashing2 min
  6. P1 16:04LAKVladislav Gavrikov: Hooking2 min
  7. P1 19:03LAKQuinton Byfield: Roughing2 min
  8. P1 19:46EDMViktor Arvidsson: Hooking2 min
  9. P2 7:34EDMMax Jones: Roughing2 min · PPG
  10. P2 8:42LAKWarren Foegele: Roughing2 min
  11. P2 8:42EDMVasily Podkolzin: Roughing2 min
  12. P2 8:42LAKBrandt Clarke: Roughing2 min
  13. P2 8:42LAKDarcy Kuemper: Tripping2 min
  14. P2 8:42EDMVasily Podkolzin: Roughing2 min
  15. P2 8:42EDMVasily Podkolzin: Misconduct10 min
  16. P2 12:43EDMCorey Perry: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  17. P2 12:43EDMJeff Skinner: Slashing2 min
  18. P2 12:43EDMCorey Perry: Misconduct10 min
  19. P2 14:36EDMDarnell Nurse: Cross checking5 min
  20. P2 14:36EDMDarnell Nurse: Game misconduct10 min
  21. P2 18:12LAKPhillip Danault: Holding the stick2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

LAK00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0EDM
43% to win57% to win
← LAK attackEDM attack →
  1. P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Janmark
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

LAKEDM
36Shots on goal21
4.5Expected goals1.9
71Shot attempts44
27Faceoffs won28
8Power plays6
16Penalty minutes53
25Hits35
10Blocked shots15
15Giveaways12
2Takeaways0

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

EDM 1.9 xGLAK 4.5 xG
012345P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

EDMLAK

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.

Excitement 10/100 · #1180 of 1312 this seasonSwing 0.78 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
LAK 100%5050%50EDM 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +14 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 86% of the time.

EDM winsLAK wins

Simulated goal difference (EDM − LAK), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).