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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 15, 2025·TD Garden, Boston

New Jersey Devils 5, Boston Bruins 4 (OT)

Away

New Jersey Devils

5

Final

Overtime

Home

Boston Bruins

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.

BOS winsNJD wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
NJD183150211526
BOS18281701424

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 7:25NJDTimo MeierAssists: Brett Pesce, Luke Hughes · Slap, 0.16 xG1–0
  2. P1 8:43BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: David Pastrnak, Nikita Zadorov · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
  3. P2 0:29BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Elias Lindholm · Backhand, 0.20 xG1–2
  4. P2 4:07NJDStefan NoesenPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–2
  5. P2 4:37NJDSimon NemecAssists: Marc McLaughlin · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
  6. P2 13:37NJDDawson MercerPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Luke Hughes · Deflected, 0.18 xG4–2
  7. P2 16:53BOSJohn FarinacciAssists: Jakub Lauko · Snap, 0.08 xG4–3
  8. P3 5:08BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: Fabian Lysell, Nikita Zadorov · Snap, 0.17 xG4–4
  9. OT 1:30NJDBrian DumoulinGWGAssists: Dawson Mercer, Timo Meier · Snap, 0.13 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
  1. P1 11:48NJDBrett Pesce: High sticking2 min
  2. P1 16:23NJDBrian Dumoulin: Cross checking2 min
  3. P2 2:21BOSFabian Lysell: Hooking2 min · PPG
  4. P2 8:44BOSNikita Zadorov: Slashing2 min
  5. P2 8:44NJDStefan Noesen: Roughing2 min
  6. P2 13:08BOSVinni Lettieri: Holding2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NJD00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0BOS
43% to win57% to win
← NJD attackBOS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against Hischier
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NJDBOS
26Shots on goal24
3.2Expected goals2.6
57Shot attempts42
30Faceoffs won34
2Power plays2
6Penalty minutes6
20Hits29
8Blocked shots18
7Giveaways6
9Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

BOS 2.6 xGNJD 3.2 xG
0123P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

BOSNJD

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.

Excitement 95/100 · #68 of 1312 this seasonSwing 2.33 · 9 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 27% (winner's lowest chance)
NJD 100%5050%50BOS 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +31 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.

BOS winsNJD wins

Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).