Tue, Apr 15, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Los Angeles Kings 6, Seattle Kraken 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 25 | 29 | 210 | 624 |
| SEA | 011 | 211 | 312 | 534 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:14LAKSamuel HeleniusAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Jordan Spence · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 16:23LAKAlex TurcottePPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 5:26SEATye KartyeSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 13:24SEABrandon MontourPPAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 16:05LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Phillip Danault, Vladislav Gavrikov · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–2
- P2 17:17LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Kevin Fiala, Jeff Malott · Snap, 0.37 xG4–2
- P3 1:41LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Alex Turcotte, Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–2
- P3 2:38LAKSamuel HeleniusGWGAssists: Jacob Moverare, Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.07 xG6–2
- P3 5:12SEAJaden SchwartzAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Ville Ottavainen · Wrist, 0.09 xG6–3
- P3 13:34SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann · Tip-in, 0.12 xG6–4
- P3 19:30SEAEeli TolvanenPPAssists: Shane Wright, Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.12 xG6–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:19LAKVladislav Gavrikov: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P1 15:57SEAKaapo Kakko: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 2:31SEAVince Dunn: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:31SEAVince Dunn: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 10:00LAKKyle Burroughs: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:18LAKPhillip Danault: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 13:12LAKPhillip Danault: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 17:32LAKSamuel Helenius: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Fiala – Laferriere – Malott10:34
xG 0.54–0.54 (50%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Kempe – Turcotte – Kuzmenko11:18
xG 0.33–0.37 (47%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
- Danault – Foegele – Moore9:23
xG 0.50–0.55 (47%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Lewis – Thomas – Helenius10:45
xG 0.28–0.44 (39%)attempts 11–18goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoverare – Clarke15:58
xG 0.74–0.60 (55%)attempts 13–15goals 1–1
- Burroughs – Jones10:06
xG 0.51–0.42 (55%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Spence18:21
xG 0.47–0.87 (35%)attempts 15–21goals 2–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Stephenson – Tolvanen10:43
xG 0.82–0.27 (75%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Hayden – Eyssimont – Kartye8:02
xG 0.32–0.14 (69%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Burakovsky – McCann – Wright9:02
xG 0.25–0.34 (42%)attempts 11–12goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Kakko – Beniers10:02
xG 0.29–0.97 (23%)attempts 10–10goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Evans15:04
xG 1.04–0.72 (59%)attempts 16–15goals 0–2
- Oleksiak – Ottavainen13:16
xG 0.38–0.15 (72%)attempts 14–6goals 1–1
- Larsson – Dunn15:00
xG 0.47–0.78 (37%)attempts 19–20goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).