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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 7, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, New York Rangers 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 0:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 0:59Brunicke: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière · PIT Malkin, Letang, Acciari, Lizotte, Brunicke

  5. P1 2:44Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Silovs5v4
  6. P1 3:00Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 6:27Shot by Borgen, saved by Silovs
  8. P1 7:05Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 7:33Fox: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Cuylle · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Koivunen

  10. P1 9:48Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Silovs
  11. P1 11:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Silovs
  12. P1 14:03Shot by Schneider, saved by Silovs
  13. P1 15:36Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 17:30Shot by Raddysh, saved by Silovs
  15. P1 19:16Shot by Brazeau, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 19:17Shot by Brazeau, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 19:28Goal by Brazeau (Malkin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Lafrenière · PIT Malkin, Letang, Karlsson, Mantha, Brazeau

  18. P1 19:41Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Silovs
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:47Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Silovs
  22. P2 0:59Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Silovs
  23. P2 1:20Shot by Malkin, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 1:22Shot by Karlsson, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 3:16Shot by Lizotte, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 3:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Silovs
  27. P2 6:17Shot by Acciari, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 6:28Shot by Carrick, saved by Silovs
  29. P2 7:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 9:10Shot by Lizotte, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 11:50Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Silovs
  32. P2 12:43Shot by Novak, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 13:10Shot by Fox, saved by Silovs
  34. P2 14:17Shot by Koivunen, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 15:24Shot by Panarin, saved by Silovs
  36. P2 16:03Shot by Sheary, saved by Silovs
  37. P2 17:48Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Silovs
  38. P2 17:51Shot by Cuylle, saved by Silovs
  39. P2 18:45Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Silovs
  40. P2 18:55Letang: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Borgen, Gavrikov, Lafrenière · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Shea, Koivunen

  41. P2 19:05Shot by Panarin, saved by Silovs5v4
  42. P2 19:36Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Silovs5v4
  43. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:05Shot by Raddysh, saved by Silovs
  46. P3 2:50Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P3 2:51Shot by Brazeau, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P3 2:52Shot by Brazeau, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P3 3:04Shot by Mantha, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 3:10Shot by Mantha, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 4:52Shot by Brunicke, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 6:21Shot by Jones, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 6:36Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 8:10Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Silovs
  55. P3 11:00Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Silovs
  56. P3 11:33Shot by Kindel, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 11:58Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 14:43Shot by Soucy, saved by Silovs
  59. P3 14:44Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Silovs
  60. P3 16:08Shot by Mantha, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 16:25Shot by Lizotte, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 17:48Goal by Brazeau (Malkin, Mantha)6v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Fox, Lafrenière · PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau

  63. P3 18:08Goal by Lizotte (Shea, Dewar)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Fox, Lafrenière · PIT Letang, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte

  64. P3 18:17Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final