Wed, Oct 8, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Los Angeles Kings 6, Vegas Golden Knights 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 210 | 16 | 28 | 02 | 2 | 626 |
| VGK | 07 | 316 | 29 | 03 | 1 | 535 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:41LAKAndrei KuzmenkoPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 11:57LAKQuinton ByfieldUnassisted · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 2:10VGKPavel DorofeyevUnassisted · Snap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 13:41LAKJeff MalottAssists: Joel Armia, Alex Turcotte · Deflected, 0.13 xG3–1
- P2 17:32VGKPavel DorofeyevPPAssists: Mark Stone, Jack Eichel · Snap, 0.12 xG3–2
- P2 19:14VGKPavel DorofeyevPPAssists: Mark Stone, Jack Eichel · Snap, 0.18 xG3–3
- P3 5:06VGKJack EichelAssists: Mitch Marner, Ivan Barbashev · Slap, 0.11 xG3–4
- P3 8:43VGKIvan BarbashevAssists: Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner · Snap, 0.13 xG3–5
- P3 11:39LAKTrevor MooreSHAssists: Phillip Danault, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.20 xG4–5
- P3 14:00LAKBrandt ClarkeAssists: Quinton Byfield, Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.26 xG5–5
Shootout
- 1. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 2. VGK Jack Eichel stopped
- 3. LAK Trevor Moore scored
- 4. VGK Pavel Dorofeyev scored
- 5. LAK Kevin Fiala stopped
- 6. VGK Mitch Marner stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:19VGKWilliam Karlsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 9:39VGKColton Sissons: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:39LAKQuinton Byfield: Embellishment2 min
- P1 14:21LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:20VGKKaedan Korczak: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:20LAKAlex Turcotte: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P2 18:07LAKAlex Laferriere: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:15LAKJoel Edmundson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Byfield won the faceoff against Eichel
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Turcotte – Malott5:14
xG 0.30–0.05 (85%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe2:36
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko9:21
xG 0.36–0.50 (42%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore10:31
xG 0.04–0.27 (14%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke12:29
xG 0.71–0.33 (68%)attempts 13–13goals 2–0
- Doughty – Anderson17:31
xG 0.33–0.58 (37%)attempts 9–21goals 1–1
- Dumoulin – Ceci13:06
xG 0.13–0.40 (24%)attempts 7–13goals 0–2
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestBarbashev – Eichel – Marner11:15
xG 0.46–0.13 (78%)attempts 11–8goals 2–0
- Saad – Hertl – Dorofeyev9:56
xG 0.22–0.15 (60%)attempts 11–6goals 1–1
- Sissons – Kolesar – Howden9:07
xG 0.29–0.27 (52%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Smith – Stone – Karlsson8:51
xG 0.36–0.60 (37%)attempts 13–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Theodore15:39
xG 0.60–0.40 (60%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
- Lauzon – Korczak13:08
xG 0.38–0.23 (62%)attempts 15–8goals 2–1
- Hanifin – Whitecloud15:56
xG 0.43–0.63 (40%)attempts 16–12goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).