Fri, Oct 17, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 013 | 24 | 012 | 03 | 1 | 332 |
| CHI | 215 | 010 | 07 | 01 | 0 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:41CHIRyan DonatoPPAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Artyom Levshunov · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 19:14CHITyler BertuzziAssists: Sam Rinzel · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–2
- P2 6:49VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Conor Garland, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P2 13:42VANMax SassonAssists: Filip Hronek, Linus Karlsson · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Teuvo Teravainen stopped
- 2. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 3. CHI Connor Bedard stopped
- 4. VAN Conor Garland stopped
- 5. CHI Frank Nazar stopped
- 6. VAN Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 7. CHI Ryan Donato stopped
- 8. VAN Brock Boeser scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 1:23VANKiefer Sherwood: Hooking2 min
- P1 1:46CHIFrank Nazar: Holding2 min
- P1 9:30VANKiefer Sherwood: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:30CHITyler Bertuzzi: Slashing2 min
- P1 11:29VANEvander Kane: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 2:45VANTyler Myers: Holding2 min
- P2 3:48CHIConnor Bedard: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:16CHIRyan Donato: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:11CHILukas Reichel: High sticking2 min
- P3 14:48CHIColton Dach: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 17:56CHIConnor Bedard: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pettersson won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – DeBrusk – Chytil11:17
xG 0.58–0.17 (78%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Garland – Pettersson – O'Connor2:41
xG 0.23–0.11 (68%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Bains – Sasson6:04
xG 0.22–0.12 (65%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Kane – Garland – Pettersson7:54
xG 0.32–0.50 (39%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Mancini2:04
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Hronek – Pettersson9:04
xG 0.33–0.22 (61%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Hughes – Mancini8:57
xG 0.43–0.32 (57%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Bertuzzi – Bedard5:47
xG 0.50–0.11 (82%)attempts 10–2goals 1–0
- Dickinson – Donato – Mikheyev9:44
xG 0.46–0.10 (82%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Bertuzzi – Nazar6:52
xG 0.11–0.06 (66%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – Dach – Bedard5:01
xG 0.14–0.30 (32%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKaiser – Rinzel5:57
xG 0.56–0.13 (81%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Rinzel5:52
xG 0.34–0.09 (78%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Rinzel3:06
xG 0.22–0.06 (80%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).