Tue, Oct 21, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Anaheim Ducks 5, Nashville Predators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 113 | 312 | 17 | 532 |
| NSH | 111 | 115 | 02 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:52ANARoss JohnstonAssists: Radko Gudas, Pavel Mintyukov · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 14:29NSHTyson JostAssists: Spencer Stastney, Justin Barron · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 4:23ANALeo CarlssonAssists: Jacob Trouba, Cutter Gauthier · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 6:39NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Roman Josi, Ryan O'Reilly · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–2
- P2 15:07ANACutter GauthierGWGAssists: Jacob Trouba · Snap, 0.07 xG3–2
- P2 16:59ANABeckett SenneckeAssists: Mason McTavish, Ross Johnston · Snap, 0.14 xG4–2
- P3 11:40ANATroy TerryAssists: Ryan Poehling, Ross Johnston · Wrist, 0.19 xG5–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 16:09NSHRoman Josi: Holding2 min
- P2 7:05NSHErik Haula: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:42NSHAdam Wilsby: Holding2 min
- P2 9:42ANACutter Gauthier: Interference2 min
- P3 2:55NSHAdam Wilsby: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:31ANARoss Johnston: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:31NSHMichael McCarron: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:26NSHOzzy Wiesblatt: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:26ANAFrank Vatrano: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:07NSHCole Smith: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Haula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Terry – Nesterenko11:26
xG 0.43–0.29 (59%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Killorn – Gauthier – Carlsson8:24
xG 0.41–0.45 (48%)attempts 10–9goals 2–0
- Johnston – Poehling – Colangelo7:15
xG 0.07–0.27 (21%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
- Vatrano – McTavish – Sennecke8:53
xG 0.07–0.57 (11%)attempts 3–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Zellweger14:18
xG 0.62–0.29 (68%)attempts 14–13goals 3–0
- Helleson – LaCombe14:58
xG 0.59–0.56 (51%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
- Gudas – Mintyukov12:37
xG 0.49–0.63 (44%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestMcCarron – Smith – Wiesblatt7:50
xG 0.73–0.34 (68%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- Jost – Svechkov – Martin5:49
xG 0.21–0.11 (67%)attempts 3–4goals 1–1
- O'Reilly – Forsberg – Evangelista7:44
xG 0.35–0.42 (46%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Forsberg – Jost – Svechkov2:04
xG 0.09–0.21 (29%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStastney – Barron11:22
xG 0.74–0.38 (66%)attempts 19–11goals 1–1
- Josi – Wilsby15:50
xG 0.76–0.68 (53%)attempts 17–10goals 1–1
- Skjei – Perbix13:49
xG 0.33–0.42 (44%)attempts 10–14goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).