Thu, Oct 23, 2025·TD Garden, Boston
Anaheim Ducks 7, Boston Bruins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 112 | 26 | 412 | 730 |
| BOS | 120 | 213 | 29 | 542 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:10BOSCasey MittelstadtAssists: Pavel Zacha, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 8:06ANADrew HellesonAssists: Nikita Nesterenko, Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 8:49BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 11:29ANACutter GauthierAssists: Jackson LaCombe, Leo Carlsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 15:24ANAJacob TroubaAssists: Nikita Nesterenko, Mikael Granlund · Snap, 0.08 xG3–2
- P2 17:10BOSMason LohreiPPAssists: Henri Jokiharju, Michael Eyssimont · Snap, 0.02 xG3–3
- P3 2:52ANAMikael GranlundPPAssists: Troy Terry, Frank Vatrano · Snap, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 7:49ANASam ColangeloAssists: Ryan Poehling, Jacob Trouba · Snap, 0.20 xG5–3
- P3 14:32BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Elias Lindholm · Wrist, 0.01 xG5–4
- P3 14:57BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Nikita Zadorov · Wrist, 0.09 xG5–5
- P3 15:27ANATroy TerryGWGAssists: Nikita Nesterenko, Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.21 xG6–5
- P3 17:52ANAMikael GranlundENAssists: Nikita Nesterenko · Wrist, 0.65 xG7–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:29BOSElias Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P2 12:14BOSTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:14ANARoss Johnston: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 16:56ANAPavel Mintyukov: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:37BOSViktor Arvidsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 5:18BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
- P3 14:24ANACutter Gauthier: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Minten
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Terry – Nesterenko12:17
xG 1.01–0.72 (58%)attempts 25–21goals 3–0
- Johnston – Poehling – Colangelo7:56
xG 0.40–0.30 (57%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Colangelo – McTavish – Sennecke2:17
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Killorn – Gauthier – Carlsson12:24
xG 0.58–0.66 (47%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Trouba – LaCombe5:27
xG 0.04–0.08 (33%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Trouba – Mintyukov5:29
xG 0.06–0.17 (26%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Helleson – LaCombe13:11
xG 0.63–0.75 (46%)attempts 15–14goals 2–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestJeannot – Viel – Minten9:01
xG 1.33–0.39 (77%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt10:47
xG 0.68–0.34 (67%)attempts 19–7goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Eyssimont – Kastelic8:31
xG 0.13–0.21 (38%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie13:32
xG 0.71–1.00 (41%)attempts 13–17goals 2–2
Defence pairs
- bestJokiharju – Callahan12:09
xG 0.91–0.23 (80%)attempts 9–7goals 0–2
- Peeke – Callahan3:42
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Peeke13:38
xG 1.04–0.82 (56%)attempts 20–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).