Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Vancouver Canucks 1, Nashville Predators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 05 | 110 | 07 | 122 |
| NSH | 012 | 112 | 111 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:01NSHRyan O'ReillySHAssists: Spencer Stastney · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 11:49VANMax SassonAssists: Linus Karlsson · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P3 5:09NSHCole SmithGWGAssists: Michael McCarron, Justin Barron · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:15NSHNick Perbix: Interference2 min
- P1 10:04VANTyler Myers: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 12:40NSHErik Haula: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:48NSHLuke Evangelista: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:18NSHBrady Skjei: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:23VANMarcus Pettersson: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:32NSHErik Haula: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:23VANMarcus Pettersson: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Räty won the faceoff against McCarron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Garland – Pettersson3:43
xG 0.38–0.17 (69%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Kane – Boeser – Pettersson2:42
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Sherwood – O'Connor – Räty5:11
xG 0.16–0.13 (56%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Karlsson – Aman – Bains3:03
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Pettersson7:28
xG 0.33–0.17 (65%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Joseph3:16
xG 0.18–0.08 (69%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Myers – Pettersson5:22
xG 0.02–0.15 (12%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestJost – Evangelista – Svechkov6:51
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- O'Reilly – Forsberg – Wood8:56
xG 0.78–0.63 (55%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
- McCarron – Smith – Wiesblatt8:06
xG 0.22–0.13 (63%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Stamkos – Haula – Bunting6:49
xG 0.18–0.24 (42%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Wilsby10:41
xG 0.90–0.28 (76%)attempts 20–5goals 0–0
- Stastney – Barron6:12
xG 0.33–0.16 (67%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Barron – Wilsby2:07
xG 0.14–0.03 (80%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).