Thu, Oct 23, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Los Angeles Kings 3, Dallas Stars 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 15 | 110 | 09 | 11 | 325 |
| DAL | 08 | 114 | 18 | 01 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:48LAKCorey PerryPPAssists: Kevin Fiala, Quinton Byfield · Snap, 0.37 xG1–0
- P2 4:58DALJason RobertsonPPAssists: Roope Hintz, Wyatt Johnston · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 6:27LAKCody CeciAssists: Adrian Kempe, Alex Laferriere · Slap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 2:32DALWyatt JohnstonPPAssists: Roope Hintz, Mikko Rantanen · Snap, 0.13 xG2–2
- OT 0:37LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield · Snap, 0.18 xG3–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 13:06LAKDarcy Kuemper: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:01DALMikko Rantanen: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:26DALIlya Lyubushkin: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:16DALTyler Seguin: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:46LAKJeff Malott: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 9:51LAKJoel Armia: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:56LAKJoel Armia: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 13:37LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johnston won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Foegele – Moore7:56
xG 0.45–0.03 (94%)attempts 16–4goals 0–0
- Armia – Kempe – Laferriere2:43
xG 0.27–0.05 (83%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Perry – Turcotte – Malott4:06
xG 0.09–0.01 (90%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Perry – Fiala – Byfield2:39
xG 0.10–0.03 (78%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Ceci – Anderson12:42
xG 0.36–0.50 (42%)attempts 10–14goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Clarke12:14
xG 0.05–0.33 (13%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Doughty – Dumoulin15:14
xG 0.38–0.73 (34%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestRantanen – Hintz – Steel7:46
xG 0.37–0.01 (98%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Rantanen – Hintz – Hryckowian2:52
xG 0.23–0.02 (93%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Robertson – Bourque – Johnston11:45
xG 0.54–0.42 (56%)attempts 10–15goals 0–1
- Faksa – Bastian – Hryckowian2:16
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindell – Heiskanen13:07
xG 0.55–0.10 (84%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Lyubushkin – Harley11:59
xG 0.66–0.45 (59%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Heiskanen – Harley2:13
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).