Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Seattle Kraken 3, Winnipeg Jets 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 09 | 111 | 28 | 328 |
| WPG | 011 | 08 | 013 | 032 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:28SEAJaden SchwartzGWGAssists: Shane Wright, Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P3 18:20SEAJaden SchwartzENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.74 xG2–0
- P3 18:43SEAJordan EberleENAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Joey Daccord · Wrist, 0.73 xG3–0
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:59SEAJaden Schwartz: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:19SEAJordan Eberle: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:24WPGKyle Connor: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:48SEAEeli Tolvanen: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:03WPGCole Koepke: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:03SEAJosh Mahura: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestKartye – Winterton – Meyers5:11
xG 0.26–0.12 (69%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Marchment – Tolvanen13:46
xG 0.33–0.25 (56%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Eberle – Beniers – Catton8:01
xG 0.18–0.11 (62%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Nyman – Wright7:43
xG 0.23–0.21 (52%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Lindgren15:10
xG 0.41–0.13 (75%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Mahura – Fleury8:37
xG 0.28–0.21 (57%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn21:09
xG 0.74–0.73 (50%)attempts 18–23goals 1–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestPearson – Barron – Koepke7:54
xG 0.34–0.19 (64%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Toews – Nyquist – Niederreiter10:41
xG 0.37–0.24 (60%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi17:08
xG 0.55–0.47 (54%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Iafallo – Lambert8:13
xG 0.09–0.40 (19%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- DeMelo – Morrissey17:24
xG 0.29–0.30 (49%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Morrissey – Fleury3:46
xG 0.06–0.08 (45%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Schenn – Fleury8:48
xG 0.13–0.47 (22%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).