Fri, Oct 24, 2025·Prudential Center, Newark
San Jose Sharks 1, New Jersey Devils 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 00 | 010 | 117 |
| NJD | 08 | 213 | 18 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:25SJSWilliam EklundPPAssists: Macklin Celebrini · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 0:40NJDDougie HamiltonPPAssists: Dawson Mercer, Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 9:08NJDDougie HamiltonPPGWGAssists: Jack Hughes, Nico Hischier · Slap, 0.18 xG1–2
- P3 19:13NJDConnor BrownENAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Nico Hischier · Backhand, 0.81 xG1–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:11NJDNico Hischier: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 8:43SJSAdam Gaudette: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:06SJSDmitry Orlov: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 1:51NJDSimon Nemec: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:21SJSJeff Skinner: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:34SJSVincent Iorio: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 13:30SJSVincent Desharnais: Cross checking2 min
- P3 1:35NJDConnor Brown: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:41NJDTimo Meier: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Celebrini won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Reaves – Goodrow – Dellandrea4:43
xG 0.16–0.13 (55%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Skinner – Wennberg – Eklund10:20
xG 0.35–0.41 (46%)attempts 6–15goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Smith – Celebrini13:13
xG 0.23–0.31 (43%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Gaudette – Kurashev – Graf5:42
xG 0.21–0.57 (27%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestIorio – Dickinson2:18
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Iorio8:02
xG 0.33–0.32 (50%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Orlov – Iorio2:03
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hughes7:46
xG 0.55–0.16 (78%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Brown – Cotter – Mercer9:16
xG 0.39–0.13 (75%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Meier – Hischier – Gritsyuk10:01
xG 0.31–0.14 (69%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Noesen – Glendening – Halonen3:52
xG 0.04–0.10 (28%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPesce – Hughes12:32
xG 0.67–0.18 (79%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Hughes – Nemec3:06
xG 0.32–0.08 (80%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Dillon – Nemec7:45
xG 0.10–0.16 (40%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).