Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Los Angeles Kings 4, Nashville Predators 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 113 | 214 | 112 | 01 | 3 | 440 |
| NSH | 112 | 24 | 12 | 07 | 4 | 525 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:27LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Brandt Clarke, Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 9:00NSHRyan O'ReillyAssists: Spencer Stastney · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 0:36NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Matthew Wood, Ryan O'Reilly · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 1:35LAKJoel ArmiaAssists: Alex Turcotte · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
- P2 5:24LAKCorey PerryAssists: Joel Armia · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–2
- P2 7:12NSHCole SmithUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–3
- P3 9:50LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Brandt Clarke, Joel Edmundson · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 14:44NSHRyan O'ReillyAssists: Filip Forsberg, Nicolas Hague · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. NSH Ryan O'Reilly scored
- 2. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 3. NSH Filip Forsberg scored
- 4. LAK Corey Perry stopped
- 5. NSH Steven Stamkos stopped
- 6. LAK Trevor Moore scored
- 7. NSH Jonathan Marchessault stopped
- 8. LAK Quinton Byfield stopped
- 9. NSH Matthew Wood stopped
- 10. LAK Andrei Kuzmenko stopped
- 11. NSH Luke Evangelista stopped
- 12. LAK Phillip Danault stopped
- 13. NSH Erik Haula scored
- 14. LAK Kevin Fiala scored
- 15. NSH Michael Bunting stopped
- 16. LAK Warren Foegele stopped
- 17. NSH Ozzy Wiesblatt scored
- 18. LAK Joel Armia stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 16:44LAKMikey Anderson: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:35NSHJustin Barron: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:29NSHJonathan Marchessault: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:37NSHCole Smith: Slashing2 min
- OT 2:52LAKTrevor Moore: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko12:22
xG 1.04–0.46 (69%)attempts 18–10goals 1–1
- Danault – Foegele – Moore11:46
xG 0.49–0.22 (69%)attempts 20–5goals 1–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere10:26
xG 0.43–0.34 (56%)attempts 12–4goals 0–1
- Perry – Armia – Byfield2:02
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke12:29
xG 0.60–0.00 (100%)attempts 18–2goals 3–0
- Ceci – Anderson17:40
xG 1.04–0.46 (70%)attempts 25–8goals 0–1
- Doughty – Dumoulin16:22
xG 1.04–0.99 (51%)attempts 19–13goals 1–2
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestMcCarron – Smith – Wiesblatt10:08
xG 0.58–0.44 (57%)attempts 7–13goals 0–1
- O'Reilly – Forsberg – Wood10:08
xG 0.45–0.47 (49%)attempts 7–11goals 3–0
- Stamkos – Evangelista – Svechkov6:10
xG 0.01–0.29 (2%)attempts 1–6goals 0–1
- Stamkos – Haula – Marchessault5:20
xG 0.18–0.51 (26%)attempts 1–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Stastney – Barron16:10
xG 0.52–0.79 (40%)attempts 6–22goals 1–0
- Hague – Wilsby17:57
xG 0.80–1.14 (41%)attempts 12–25goals 1–3
- Skjei – Perbix14:45
xG 0.35–0.92 (28%)attempts 9–17goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).