Sun, Oct 26, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Los Angeles Kings 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 28 | 18 | 322 |
| CHI | 111 | 04 | 08 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:04CHIConnor BedardAssists: Ilya Mikheyev · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 3:30LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Corey Perry, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 4:54LAKKevin FialaGWGAssists: Brandt Clarke · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–1
- P3 18:52LAKJoel ArmiaENAssists: Adrian Kempe, Joel Edmundson · Wrist, 0.82 xG3–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:07LAKPhillip Danault: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:58LAKAnton Forsberg: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 17:14CHIAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:30CHIWyatt Kaiser: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:01LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:18CHIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:20LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:52LAKTrevor Moore: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Byfield – Laferriere8:09
xG 0.61–0.11 (84%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Armia – Danault – Moore6:37
xG 0.13–0.14 (49%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko4:33
xG 0.02–0.10 (15%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Dumoulin13:08
xG 0.93–0.49 (66%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Clarke10:11
xG 0.43–0.06 (88%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Ceci – Anderson11:51
xG 0.23–0.18 (56%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Donato – Nazar11:37
xG 0.30–0.14 (68%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Slaggert – Dach4:31
xG 0.17–0.17 (50%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Burakovsky – Dach – Bedard2:18
xG 0.01–0.05 (11%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – Mikheyev – Bedard6:48
xG 0.25–0.43 (37%)attempts 4–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Rinzel6:57
xG 0.12–0.03 (81%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Kaiser – Levshunov4:24
xG 0.18–0.12 (60%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier2:36
xG 0.04–0.02 (71%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).