Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Rangers 2, Vancouver Canucks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 17 | 011 | 17 | 225 |
| VAN | 04 | 07 | 012 | 023 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:28NYRMika ZibanejadGWGAssists: Will Cuylle, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P3 18:27NYRSam CarrickENAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.38 xG2–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 10:24VANArshdeep Bains: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:40VANMarcus Pettersson: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:40NYRSam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:40VANMarcus Pettersson: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:53NYRAdam Edstrom: Interference2 min
- P2 4:02VANEvander Kane: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:06NYRCarson Soucy: Interference2 min
- P3 19:18NYRWill Cuylle: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:00VANKiefer Sherwood: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Sheary – Lafrenière10:08
xG 0.53–0.24 (69%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Panarin – Cuylle12:41
xG 0.77–0.48 (61%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
- Raddysh – Parssinen – Laba5:53
xG 0.16–0.19 (45%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Carrick – Brodzinski – Edstrom6:13
xG 0.03–0.32 (7%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Fox14:37
xG 1.06–0.23 (82%)attempts 18–3goals 0–0
- Vaakanainen – Schneider11:58
xG 0.36–0.31 (54%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Soucy – Borgen12:49
xG 0.32–0.70 (32%)attempts 6–14goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSherwood – O'Connor – Reichel5:00
xG 0.36–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Bains – Sasson3:42
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Boeser – DeBrusk – Reichel2:15
xG 0.16–0.12 (56%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Sherwood – O'Connor – Räty3:38
xG 0.17–0.14 (54%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Joseph5:48
xG 0.15–0.01 (94%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Joseph – Willander3:26
xG 0.19–0.05 (77%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Hronek7:22
xG 0.30–0.20 (60%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).