Thu, Oct 30, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
New Jersey Devils 2, San Jose Sharks 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 19 | 013 | 19 | 231 |
| SJS | 315 | 213 | 00 | 528 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:42SJSWilliam EklundAssists: Philipp Kurashev · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 12:12SJSPhilipp KurashevAssists: Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P1 15:47SJSAlexander WennbergGWGAssists: Mario Ferraro, Timothy Liljegren · Tip-in, 0.04 xG0–3
- P1 19:00NJDDawson MercerPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–3
- P2 16:50SJSWill SmithAssists: Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–4
- P2 18:30SJSTyler ToffoliAssists: Dmitry Orlov, Timothy Liljegren · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–5
- P3 4:19NJDDawson MercerPPAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Jesper Bratt · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:26NJDPaul Cotter: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 8:52SJSWill Smith: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:31NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:47SJSDmitry Orlov: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P3 3:31SJSWilliam Eklund: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hughes9:20
xG 0.55–0.33 (63%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Noesen – Glendening – Cotter8:39
xG 0.15–0.22 (41%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Lammikko – Gritsyuk10:02
xG 0.32–0.50 (39%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer11:53
xG 0.15–0.54 (22%)attempts 13–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Nemec13:35
xG 0.75–0.43 (64%)attempts 23–8goals 0–3
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler15:40
xG 0.75–0.54 (58%)attempts 21–7goals 0–2
- Hughes – Casey16:51
xG 0.14–0.54 (21%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Smith – Celebrini14:05
xG 0.48–0.40 (54%)attempts 13–16goals 2–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Giles5:23
xG 0.24–0.16 (60%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Skinner – Dellandrea – Graf8:53
xG 0.28–0.21 (57%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Kurashev – Eklund13:22
xG 0.47–0.61 (44%)attempts 11–16goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestOrlov – Liljegren17:31
xG 0.60–0.43 (58%)attempts 17–15goals 1–0
- Mukhamadullin – Dickinson12:22
xG 0.58–0.62 (48%)attempts 10–17goals 1–0
- Klingberg – Ferraro15:22
xG 0.30–0.39 (44%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).