Sat, Nov 1, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
New York Rangers 3, Seattle Kraken 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 210 | 06 | 09 | 12 | 327 |
| SEA | 15 | 13 | 04 | 01 | 213 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:16NYRVladislav GavrikovAssists: Adam Fox, Jonny Brodzinski · Wrist, 0.00 xG1–0
- P1 12:49SEAChandler StephensonPPAssists: Vince Dunn, Eeli Tolvanen · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 13:50NYRNoah LabaAssists: Will Cuylle, Alexis Lafrenière · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 6:59SEABrandon MontourAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Chandler Stephenson · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
- OT 2:42NYRWill CuylleGWGAssists: J.T. Miller, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.13 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:12SEAJosh Mahura: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:59NYRUrho Vaakanainen: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 1:56NYRBraden Schneider: Interference2 min
- P2 9:54SEAShane Wright: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:54SEARyan Lindgren: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Miller – Panarin15:32
xG 0.72–0.38 (66%)attempts 25–12goals 0–0
- Lafrenière – Cuylle – Laba11:02
xG 0.32–0.07 (82%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Carrick – Brodzinski – Edstrom7:15
xG 0.18–0.08 (70%)attempts 4–4goals 1–1
- Sheary – Raddysh – Parssinen9:29
xG 0.13–0.12 (52%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Fox15:38
xG 0.88–0.28 (76%)attempts 28–11goals 2–0
- Vaakanainen – Schneider11:33
xG 0.29–0.10 (75%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Soucy – Borgen17:20
xG 0.39–0.43 (48%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- Marchment – Winterton – Wright2:53
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Eberle – Kakko – Beniers2:35
xG 0.01–0.05 (11%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Eberle – Beniers – Catton8:52
xG 0.10–0.20 (32%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Kartye – Winterton – Meyers3:20
xG 0.09–0.24 (27%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Oleksiak – Mahura9:37
xG 0.22–0.30 (42%)attempts 3–11goals 0–1
- Montour – Lindgren16:26
xG 0.31–0.40 (44%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- Larsson – Montour2:32
xG 0.02–0.20 (10%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).