Tue, Nov 4, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Montréal Canadiens 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 312 | 017 | 111 | 02 | 1 | 542 |
| MTL | 02 | 49 | 07 | 02 | 0 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:56PHIBobby BrinkAssists: Travis Sanheim, Cam York · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 7:07PHICam YorkPPAssists: Trevor Zegras, Travis Konecny · Slap, 0.16 xG2–0
- P1 7:50PHIBobby BrinkPPAssists: Noah Cates, Trevor Zegras · Snap, 0.26 xG3–0
- P2 3:12MTLKirby DachAssists: Noah Dobson, Brendan Gallagher · Snap, 0.06 xG3–1
- P2 4:15MTLNick SuzukiPPAssists: Ivan Demidov, Cole Caufield · Snap, 0.05 xG3–2
- P2 13:28MTLKirby DachAssists: Lane Hutson, Jayden Struble · Snap, 0.18 xG3–3
- P2 15:57MTLIvan DemidovPPAssists: Juraj Slafkovský, Lane Hutson · Snap, 0.11 xG3–4
- P3 10:51PHINikita GrebenkinAssists: Travis Konecny, Jamie Drysdale · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. MTL Ivan Demidov stopped
- 2. PHI Trevor Zegras scored
- 3. MTL Cole Caufield stopped
- 4. PHI Matvei Michkov stopped
- 5. MTL Nick Suzuki stopped
Penalties (14)
- P1 5:39MTLMike Matheson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 6:07MTLNoah Dobson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 9:08PHINick Seeler: Interference2 min
- P2 3:28PHITravis Sanheim: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 7:28PHISean Couturier: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:12PHIGarnet Hathaway: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:12MTLJuraj Slafkovský: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:32MTLJoseph Veleno: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 15:22PHIBobby Brink: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:31MTLKirby Dach: Holding2 min
- P3 2:30PHINicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:30MTLArber Xhekaj: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:25MTLCole Caufield: Boarding2 min
- OT 4:52MTLIvan Demidov: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestDvorak – Tippett – Zegras12:48
xG 1.01–0.08 (92%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Couturier – Brink – Michkov7:54
xG 0.24–0.06 (80%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Konecny – Cates – Grebenkin8:14
xG 0.34–0.32 (52%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Deslauriers – Hathaway – Gaucher5:28
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSanheim – York15:04
xG 1.63–0.51 (76%)attempts 23–14goals 1–1
- Juulsen – Andrae8:11
xG 0.07–0.15 (31%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Seeler – Drysdale15:05
xG 0.46–0.60 (43%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestGallagher – Dach – Bolduc8:50
xG 0.74–0.38 (66%)attempts 15–7goals 2–0
- Suzuki – Caufield – Slafkovský13:30
xG 0.41–0.33 (55%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Anderson – Evans – Veleno10:05
xG 0.16–0.33 (33%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
- Newhook – Kapanen – Demidov8:09
xG 0.17–0.58 (23%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStruble – Hutson11:32
xG 0.50–0.30 (63%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Dobson – Hutson2:06
xG 0.32–0.18 (64%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Carrier – Xhekaj8:15
xG 0.07–0.07 (53%)attempts 5–3goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).