Tue, Nov 4, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Winnipeg Jets 0, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 05 | 08 | 010 | 023 |
| LAK | 17 | 011 | 28 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:09LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Joel Armia, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–1
- P3 15:00LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Corey Perry, Quinton Byfield · Snap, 0.12 xG0–2
- P3 19:06LAKDrew DoughtyENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:09WPGLogan Stanley: Holding2 min
- P1 5:06LAKCorey Perry: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 8:23WPGBrad Lambert: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P1 8:44LAKAnze Kopitar: High sticking2 min
- P2 3:58WPGBrad Lambert: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:01LAKAlex Turcotte: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:18LAKBrandt Clarke: Interference2 min
- P3 4:53LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:34WPGParker Ford: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 11:46WPGVladislav Namestnikov: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Lowry
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Toews – Namestnikov – Iafallo8:07
xG 0.21–0.29 (43%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Koepke – Lambert – Ford4:40
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi10:52
xG 0.65–0.85 (43%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Niederreiter – Lowry – Pearson6:32
xG 0.02–0.49 (5%)attempts 1–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Stanley3:37
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Fleury7:44
xG 0.65–0.73 (47%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Miller – Morrissey2:38
xG 0.07–0.26 (22%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Turcotte – Malott5:58
xG 0.51–0.09 (85%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Danault – Moore – Kuzmenko6:34
xG 0.55–0.37 (60%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Armia – Kempe7:37
xG 0.49–0.32 (60%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere7:04
xG 0.13–0.33 (29%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke9:53
xG 0.68–0.33 (67%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci12:21
xG 0.57–0.23 (71%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson12:14
xG 0.63–0.66 (49%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).