Thu, Nov 6, 2025·Prudential Center, Newark
Montréal Canadiens 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 14 | 08 | 27 | 00 | 319 |
| NJD | 18 | 112 | 16 | 12 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:53NJDCody GlassUnassisted · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 2:59MTLKirby DachAssists: Noah Dobson, Mike Matheson · Tip-in, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 8:05NJDOndrej PalatAssists: Jack Hughes, Simon Nemec · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P3 0:59MTLJake EvansAssists: Josh Anderson, Noah Dobson · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P3 10:33MTLOliver KapanenAssists: Alex Newhook · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–2
- P3 18:53NJDTimo MeierAssists: Dawson Mercer, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–3
- OT 1:33NJDJesper BrattGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:11MTLKirby Dach: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 16:06NJDTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:26MTLIvan Demidov: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:44MTLOliver Kapanen: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:30NJDSimon Nemec: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:33MTLJayden Struble: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:06MTLJayden Struble: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestSuzuki – Caufield – Slafkovský11:50
xG 0.48–0.25 (65%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Anderson – Evans – Veleno8:00
xG 0.27–0.10 (73%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Newhook – Kapanen – Demidov5:18
xG 0.22–0.13 (63%)attempts 4–6goals 1–1
- Gallagher – Dach – Bolduc6:52
xG 0.11–0.13 (46%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestStruble – Hutson13:44
xG 0.55–0.31 (64%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
- Matheson – Dobson12:16
xG 0.32–0.14 (69%)attempts 9–6goals 3–0
- Carrier – Xhekaj5:24
xG 0.25–0.20 (56%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Glass – Gritsyuk8:25
xG 0.35–0.27 (57%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
- Glendening – Lammikko – Cotter4:20
xG 0.22–0.22 (50%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer9:32
xG 0.27–0.48 (36%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Noesen – Bratt – Hughes9:03
xG 0.11–0.34 (24%)attempts 6–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Dillon – Nemec3:41
xG 0.14–0.12 (53%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Hughes3:14
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler7:45
xG 0.36–0.38 (48%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).