Thu, Nov 6, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Florida Panthers 5, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 28 | 18 | 28 | 524 |
| LAK | 213 | 06 | 07 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:06FLASam BennettAssists: Jeff Petry, Jesper Boqvist · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 9:23LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Quinton Byfield · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 11:00LAKCorey PerryAssists: Mikey Anderson, Joel Edmundson · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
- P1 17:30FLABrad MarchandAssists: Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 11:45FLASam ReinhartGWGAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Niko Mikkola · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–2
- P3 8:41FLAAnton LundellSHAssists: Eetu Luostarinen · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–2
- P3 12:36FLABrad MarchandAssists: Niko Mikkola · Snap, 0.14 xG5–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:32FLAA.J. Greer: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:45FLABrad Marchand: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P2 7:18LAKJoel Armia: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:07FLASam Bennett: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:32LAKPhillip Danault: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:17FLACarter Verhaeghe: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:44LAKCorey Perry: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:44FLAA.J. Greer: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Lundell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Luostarinen – Lundell8:50
xG 0.52–0.31 (62%)attempts 10–4goals 2–1
- Verhaeghe – Reinhart – Rodrigues10:46
xG 0.38–0.25 (60%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Greer – Gregor – Schwindt5:21
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0
- Bennett – Boqvist – Samoskevich10:19
xG 0.37–0.51 (42%)attempts 6–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestPetry – Sebrango13:22
xG 0.65–0.19 (77%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
- Jones – Mikkola14:07
xG 0.59–0.19 (76%)attempts 14–10goals 2–0
- Ekblad – Forsling16:15
xG 0.49–0.67 (42%)attempts 15–13goals 1–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Byfield – Laferriere7:17
xG 0.45–0.09 (83%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Perry – Turcotte – Malott5:14
xG 0.44–0.14 (76%)attempts 10–2goals 1–1
- Kopitar – Armia – Kempe7:16
xG 0.09–0.14 (40%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Perry – Fiala – Byfield4:24
xG 0.07–0.18 (26%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Edmundson – Clarke13:39
xG 0.35–0.36 (49%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci16:51
xG 0.68–0.91 (43%)attempts 14–21goals 0–2
- Doughty – Anderson14:04
xG 0.09–0.46 (16%)attempts 11–11goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).