Sat, Nov 8, 2025·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 011 | 213 | 18 | 332 |
| VAN | 08 | 29 | 27 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:28VANJake DeBruskAssists: Drew O'Connor, Aatu Räty · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 6:46CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Dmitri Voronkov, Denton Mateychuk · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 13:02CBJDmitri VoronkovAssists: Kirill Marchenko, Adam Fantilli · Poke, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 19:03VANDrew O'ConnorAssists: Quinn Hughes, Filip Hronek · Snap, 0.23 xG2–2
- P3 6:17VANConor GarlandAssists: Tyler Myers, Elias Pettersson · Poke, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 9:47CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Dmitri Voronkov, Adam Fantilli · Slap, 0.07 xG3–3
- P3 14:15VANBrock BoeserGWGAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Lukas Reichel · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:50VANLukas Reichel: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:56CBJCole Sillinger: Holding2 min
- P2 1:06VANConor Garland: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:00CBJMathieu Olivier: Boarding5 min
- P2 7:00CBJMathieu Olivier: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 19:03CBJDante Fabbro: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:03VANJake DeBrusk: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:14VANAatu Räty: Interference2 min
- P3 19:13CBJEgor Chinakhov: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:49VANFilip Hronek: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Räty
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Jenner – Sillinger6:11
xG 0.38–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–0goals 0–0
- Marchenko – Voronkov – Fantilli9:05
xG 1.06–0.80 (57%)attempts 14–11goals 3–2
- Jenner – Chinakhov – Del Bel Belluz2:51
xG 0.00–0.02 (5%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Wood – Monahan – Johnson5:47
xG 0.26–0.58 (31%)attempts 7–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Mateychuk13:49
xG 1.01–0.32 (76%)attempts 19–10goals 1–0
- Fabbro – Christiansen6:48
xG 0.21–0.25 (45%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Severson – Provorov13:40
xG 0.74–0.91 (45%)attempts 17–10goals 1–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrusk – O'Connor – Räty9:19
xG 1.14–0.32 (78%)attempts 11–10goals 2–0
- Kane – Garland – Pettersson11:17
xG 1.00–0.57 (64%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Bains – Sasson3:59
xG 0.07–0.12 (35%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Boeser – Sherwood – Reichel8:57
xG 0.16–0.38 (30%)attempts 7–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes14:20
xG 1.19–0.55 (69%)attempts 16–11goals 1–1
- Pettersson – Willander5:25
xG 0.02–0.02 (55%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Hughes – Willander3:36
xG 0.33–0.33 (50%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).