Wed, Nov 12, 2025·United Center, Chicago
New Jersey Devils 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 010 | 114 | 29 | 14 | 437 |
| CHI | 112 | 03 | 25 | 00 | 320 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:35CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Tyler Bertuzzi · Snap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 19:45NJDSimon NemecAssists: Nico Hischier, Timo Meier · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–1
- P3 3:05CHILandon SlaggertAssists: Louis Crevier, Nick Foligno · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–2
- P3 10:13NJDDawson MercerAssists: Jack Hughes, Arseny Gritsyuk · Slap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 13:34CHISam LaffertyAssists: Nick Foligno, Louis Crevier · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 16:14NJDSimon NemecAssists: Stefan Noesen, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–3
- OT 3:28NJDSimon NemecGWGAssists: Jacob Markstrom, Luke Hughes · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 9:27NJDOndrej Palat: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:46NJDLuke Hughes: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 17:18NJDBrenden Dillon: Boarding2 min
- P2 7:10CHIWyatt Kaiser: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Donato won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHughes – Gritsyuk – Mercer15:18
xG 0.86–0.10 (90%)attempts 29–5goals 1–0
- Meier – Bratt – Hischier12:23
xG 0.63–0.14 (82%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Palat – Noesen – Glass3:13
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Palat – Noesen – Cotter3:16
xG 0.04–0.03 (59%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSiegenthaler – Nemec18:45
xG 1.34–0.13 (91%)attempts 26–8goals 3–0
- White – Cholowski10:07
xG 0.44–0.10 (81%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Hughes – Nemec2:16
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Lafferty – Slaggert5:38
xG 0.25–0.08 (76%)attempts 4–6goals 2–0
- Donato – Mikheyev – Dach3:06
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Bedard – Moore8:24
xG 0.28–0.37 (43%)attempts 6–13goals 0–1
- Bertuzzi – Donato – Bedard4:46
xG 0.12–0.36 (24%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Vlasic2:11
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Levshunov4:48
xG 0.12–0.09 (57%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Murphy – Kaiser2:37
xG 0.10–0.14 (42%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).