Thu, Nov 13, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Boston Bruins 3, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 04 | 110 | 27 | 321 |
| OTT | 210 | 04 | 38 | 522 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:28OTTClaude GirouxPPAssists: Tim Stützle, Dylan Cozens · Snap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 19:03OTTDylan CozensAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, Ridly Greig · Snap, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 11:49BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: David Pastrnak, Marat Khusnutdinov · Slap, 0.24 xG1–2
- P3 1:06OTTShane PintoAssists: Michael Amadio, Jake Sanderson · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 3:49BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Morgan Geekie, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 5:15BOSMark KastelicAssists: Tanner Jeannot · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–3
- P3 14:17OTTTim StützleGWGAssists: Drake Batherson, Artem Zub · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–4
- P3 19:42OTTTim StützleENAssists: Claude Giroux, Nikolas Matinpalo · Wrist, 0.81 xG3–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:40BOSJeffrey Viel: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:56BOSMason Lohrei: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:46OTTArtem Zub: Interference2 min
- P2 14:40OTTKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:40BOSTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:11OTTArtem Zub: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Stützle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Eyssimont – Viel8:00
xG 0.48–0.21 (70%)attempts 11–7goals 0–2
- Jeannot – Kastelic – Minten10:56
xG 0.30–0.12 (71%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Pastrnak – Geekie – Khusnutdinov10:49
xG 0.30–0.20 (60%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Steeves10:08
xG 0.20–0.22 (47%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Peeke14:33
xG 0.37–0.13 (73%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Zadorov – McAvoy15:30
xG 0.33–0.26 (55%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Peeke2:05
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Ottawa Senators
Forward lines
- bestPerron – Batherson – Stützle11:04
xG 0.26–0.17 (61%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Zetterlund – Cozens – Greig9:45
xG 0.32–0.30 (52%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Eller – Cousins – MacDermid3:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Eller – Cousins – Zetterlund2:14
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSanderson – Zub13:52
xG 0.32–0.03 (91%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Spence – Kleven9:29
xG 0.24–0.03 (91%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Spence – Sanderson2:56
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
OTT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line OTT is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (OTT − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).