Sat, Nov 15, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 010 | 116 | 06 | 01 | 2 | 233 |
| CBJ | 05 | 113 | 08 | 01 | 1 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:42NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–0
- P2 15:20CBJDmitri VoronkovPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Kirill Marchenko · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Kent Johnson stopped
- 2. NYR Artemi Panarin stopped
- 3. CBJ Adam Fantilli stopped
- 4. NYR Vincent Trocheck scored
- 5. CBJ Kirill Marchenko scored
- 6. NYR J.T. Miller scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 16:19NYRTaylor Raddysh: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
- P2 4:12CBJDamon Severson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:53NYRUrho Vaakanainen: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:13CBJDmitri Voronkov: Interference2 min
- P2 14:00NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 15:57NYRSam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:57CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fantilli won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Miller – Cuylle6:20
xG 0.57–0.15 (79%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière15:27
xG 0.91–0.62 (59%)attempts 22–10goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Miller – Perreault6:02
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Carrick – Raddysh – Edstrom7:08
xG 0.21–0.15 (57%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Fox21:19
xG 1.45–0.62 (70%)attempts 32–16goals 0–0
- Soucy – Schneider16:47
xG 0.42–0.52 (45%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Vaakanainen – Robertson11:46
xG 0.34–0.54 (39%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Olivier – Sillinger10:54
xG 0.28–0.17 (62%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Wood – Monahan – Lundeström3:14
xG 0.12–0.06 (67%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Wood – Lundeström – Chinakhov4:25
xG 0.25–0.26 (49%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Monahan – Johnson – Del Bel Belluz6:05
xG 0.07–0.15 (32%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFabbro – Christiansen7:57
xG 0.47–0.41 (53%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Fabbro – Mateychuk2:53
xG 0.01–0.10 (7%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Severson – Mateychuk17:26
xG 0.57–0.83 (41%)attempts 10–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).