Mon, Nov 17, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Vancouver Canucks 5, Florida Panthers 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 25 | 14 | 26 | 515 |
| FLA | 211 | 316 | 314 | 841 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:50VANDrew O'ConnorAssists: Tyler Myers, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 15:14VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Quinn Hughes · Snap, 0.23 xG2–0
- P1 15:50FLAA.J. GreerAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Sam Bennett · Snap, 0.10 xG2–1
- P1 19:52FLASeth JonesPPAssists: Sam Reinhart, Sergei Bobrovsky · Snap, 0.15 xG2–2
- P2 2:23FLALuke KuninAssists: Noah Gregor, Gustav Forsling · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–3
- P2 6:10FLAEvan RodriguesAssists: Sam Reinhart, Jesper Boqvist · Snap, 0.17 xG2–4
- P2 7:17FLAAnton LundellAssists: Brad Marchand, Aaron Ekblad · Snap, 0.08 xG2–5
- P2 7:55VANElias PetterssonAssists: Evander Kane, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–5
- P3 1:24VANElias PetterssonAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Tom Willander · Backhand, 0.07 xG4–5
- P3 3:14VANFilip HronekPPAssists: Max Sasson, Evander Kane · Snap, 0.23 xG5–5
- P3 4:02FLASam BennettGWGAssists: Niko Mikkola, Uvis Balinskis · Tip-in, 0.06 xG5–6
- P3 8:19FLASeth JonesPPAssists: Sam Reinhart, Carter Verhaeghe · Snap, 0.18 xG5–7
- P3 18:14FLABrad MarchandENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.32 xG5–8
Penalties (18)
- P1 4:22VANMax Sasson: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:06FLAUvis Balinskis: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 19:02VANQuinn Hughes: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 19:52VANMarcus Pettersson: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:50FLASam Bennett: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:50VANKiefer Sherwood: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:50FLASam Bennett: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:47VANEvander Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:12FLANiko Mikkola: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:12FLANiko Mikkola: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:12VANTyler Myers: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:12VANTyler Myers: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:55FLAJeff Petry: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:56FLAJesper Boqvist: Cross checking2 min
- P3 7:11VANMarcus Pettersson: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 13:13FLASam Bennett: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:36VANKiefer Sherwood: Boarding2 min
- P3 18:04FLAA.J. Greer: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundell won the faceoff against Sasson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Kane – Pettersson – Sherwood8:40
xG 0.37–0.64 (37%)attempts 6–12goals 2–1
- Karlsson – Reichel – Räty6:18
xG 0.15–0.42 (26%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
- Boeser – O'Connor – Sasson7:47
xG 0.21–0.63 (25%)attempts 7–13goals 1–0
- MacEachern – DeBrusk – Kampf6:29
xG 0.00–0.44 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Hronek – Hughes15:28
xG 0.36–0.48 (43%)attempts 16–17goals 1–0
- Myers – Pettersson2:03
xG 0.00–0.23 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–2
- Hughes – Willander3:35
xG 0.00–0.23 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestVerhaeghe – Bennett – Greer9:24
xG 0.71–0.29 (71%)attempts 14–7goals 2–1
- Reinhart – Rodrigues – Boqvist10:44
xG 0.58–0.18 (77%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Marchand – Lundell – Samoskevich7:07
xG 0.56–0.58 (49%)attempts 10–6goals 0–2
- Kunin – Gregor – Schwindt2:24
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Mikkola11:01
xG 1.10–0.64 (63%)attempts 18–6goals 1–1
- Petry – Balinskis9:42
xG 0.51–0.17 (76%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Ekblad – Forsling12:28
xG 0.47–0.32 (60%)attempts 16–15goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).