Wed, Nov 19, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Boston Bruins 3, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 118 | 112 | 19 | 339 |
| ANA | 211 | 18 | 114 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:29ANAJansen HarkinsAssists: Ross Johnston, Nikita Nesterenko · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 6:29ANARadko GudasAssists: Mason McTavish, Beckett Sennecke · Slap, 0.02 xG0–2
- P1 14:58BOSMorgan GeekiePPAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Pavel Zacha · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 13:47ANARyan StromePPAssists: Mason McTavish, Cutter Gauthier · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–3
- P2 18:27BOSMichael EyssimontAssists: Nikita Zadorov · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–3
- P3 7:39BOSMorgan GeekiePPAssists: David Pastrnak, Hampus Lindholm · Tip-in, 0.05 xG3–3
- P3 16:25ANAIan MooreGWGAssists: Leo Carlsson, Troy Terry · Slap, 0.07 xG3–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 10:41BOSPavel Zacha: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:17ANADrew Helleson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 19:32BOSAlex Steeves: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:32ANAFrank Vatrano: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:49BOSMason Lohrei: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 2:13BOSJeffrey Viel: Instigator2 min
- P3 2:13ANARadko Gudas: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:13BOSJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:13BOSJeffrey Viel: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P3 7:31ANAJansen Harkins: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Kastelic
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestJeannot – Kastelic – Minten10:43
xG 0.58–0.27 (68%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Eyssimont – Viel6:07
xG 0.44–0.23 (66%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Blümel3:20
xG 0.13–0.04 (76%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Zacha – Blümel – Steeves5:03
xG 0.19–0.23 (45%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Lohrei16:12
xG 0.67–0.43 (61%)attempts 22–15goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Aspirot15:18
xG 0.87–0.66 (57%)attempts 22–21goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Jokiharju13:56
xG 0.72–0.65 (52%)attempts 14–15goals 0–3
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKillorn – Strome – Vatrano11:58
xG 0.76–0.41 (65%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Kreider – Terry – Carlsson12:43
xG 0.46–0.54 (46%)attempts 17–19goals 1–0
- Johnston – Harkins – Nesterenko5:56
xG 0.25–0.37 (40%)attempts 6–10goals 1–1
- McTavish – Gauthier – Sennecke10:21
xG 0.59–0.84 (42%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHelleson – LaCombe18:41
xG 0.89–0.52 (63%)attempts 24–17goals 0–0
- Gudas – Trouba2:12
xG 0.04–0.06 (41%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Gudas – Moore11:43
xG 0.69–0.78 (47%)attempts 18–20goals 3–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).