Thu, Nov 20, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 3, San Jose Sharks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 19 | 112 | 113 | 00 | 0 | 334 |
| SJS | 29 | 17 | 06 | 02 | 1 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:33SJSAdam GaudetteAssists: Ty Dellandrea, Collin Graf · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 16:04LAKJoel ArmiaSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 19:50SJSTy DellandreaAssists: Collin Graf, Dmitry Orlov · Deflected, 0.16 xG1–2
- P2 1:47LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Trevor Moore, Cody Ceci · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–2
- P2 17:04SJSPhilipp KurashevAssists: Will Smith, Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 19:01LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Kevin Fiala, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SJS Philipp Kurashev scored
- 2. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 3. SJS Macklin Celebrini stopped
- 4. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 5. SJS Will Smith stopped
- 6. LAK Corey Perry stopped
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:35SJSRyan Reaves: Interference2 min
- P1 10:21SJSWilliam Eklund: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:08LAKAdrian Kempe: Holding2 min
- P2 6:19SJSAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:28LAKJoel Armia: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:52LAKCorey Perry: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:26SJSMario Ferraro: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:26LAKAlex Turcotte: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:19SJSAlexander Wennberg: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Celebrini
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Foegele – Laferriere7:17
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Fiala – Kempe – Byfield8:24
xG 0.34–0.18 (65%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Moore – Kuzmenko6:09
xG 0.27–0.25 (52%)attempts 5–5goals 1–1
- Perry – Armia – Turcotte3:36
xG 0.16–0.35 (32%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Moverare7:44
xG 0.38–0.13 (75%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Anderson2:29
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke11:08
xG 0.51–0.41 (55%)attempts 15–5goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Wennberg – Eklund8:42
xG 0.64–0.27 (70%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Kurashev – Smith – Celebrini7:57
xG 0.56–0.28 (66%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
- Gaudette – Dellandrea – Graf5:56
xG 0.28–0.33 (46%)attempts 5–7goals 2–1
- Reaves – Goodrow – Ostapchuk8:07
xG 0.23–0.31 (43%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOrlov – Liljegren12:08
xG 0.65–0.39 (62%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Klingberg – Dickinson3:23
xG 0.20–0.18 (52%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Klingberg – Ferraro8:59
xG 0.30–0.31 (49%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).