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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 21, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Boston Bruins 2, Los Angeles Kings 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.

LAK winsBOS wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
BOS09071713226
LAK080911500132

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P3 8:01BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Alex Steeves, Nikita Zadorov · Slap, 0.06 xG1–0
  2. P3 13:03LAKJoel ArmiaSHAssists: Trevor Moore, Brian Dumoulin · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–1
  3. OT 2:27BOSMorgan GeekieGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Nikita Zadorov · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 6:25LAKCorey Perry: Interference2 min
  2. P1 9:29BOSSean Kuraly: Holding2 min
  3. P1 10:19BOSAndrew Peeke: High sticking2 min
  4. P2 6:52BOSSean Kuraly: Tripping2 min
  5. P2 6:52BOSSean Kuraly: Misconduct10 min
  6. P3 3:59BOSAlex Steeves: Tripping2 min
  7. P3 9:46BOSJonathan Aspirot: Tripping2 min
  8. P3 12:07LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

BOS00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
47% to win53% to win
← BOS attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Byfield won the faceoff against Khusnutdinov
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

BOSLAK
26Shots on goal32
2.6Expected goals2.7
61Shot attempts77
21Faceoffs won34
2Power plays5
20Penalty minutes4
28Hits12
23Blocked shots12
13Giveaways13
4Takeaways5

Line combinations that worked

Model-based

Each team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.

Boston Bruins

Forward lines

  1. bestTufte – Eyssimont – Khusnutdinov2:12

    xG 0.36–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0

  2. Pastrnak – Zacha – Blümel11:06

    xG 0.44–0.20 (68%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0

  3. Geekie – Khusnutdinov – Steeves6:14

    xG 0.16–0.04 (81%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0

  4. Kuraly – Tufte – Eyssimont7:03

    xG 0.04–0.19 (17%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0

Defence pairs

  1. bestLindholm – Jokiharju13:02

    xG 0.80–0.29 (73%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0

  2. Zadorov – Peeke2:44

    xG 0.14–0.09 (60%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0

  3. Zadorov – Aspirot13:47

    xG 0.32–0.29 (52%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0

Los Angeles Kings

Forward lines

  1. bestKopitar – Moore – Kuzmenko7:49

    xG 0.69–0.11 (86%)attempts 14–3goals 0–0

  2. Fiala – Kempe – Byfield9:04

    xG 0.16–0.19 (45%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0

  3. Perry – Armia – Turcotte3:50

    xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0

  4. Danault – Foegele – Laferriere7:58

    xG 0.13–0.28 (33%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0

Defence pairs

  1. bestCeci – Moverare9:03

    xG 0.70–0.47 (60%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1

  2. Dumoulin – Ceci3:43

    xG 0.16–0.09 (64%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0

  3. Edmundson – Clarke2:00

    xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 2.7 xGBOS 2.6 xG
-0.500.511.522.53P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKBOS

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.

Excitement 47/100 · #736 of 1312 this seasonSwing 1.51 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 46% (winner's lowest chance)
BOS 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +28 pts

Did the better team win?

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.

LAK winsBOS wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − BOS), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).