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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 22, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Seattle Kraken 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.

PIT winsSEA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:52Shot by Rust, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 5:01Shot by Wright, saved by Murashov
  4. P1 5:19Shot by Kindel, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 5:32Shot by Kindel, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 5:49Novak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Novak, Wotherspoon, Koppanen, Lizotte · SEA Larsson, Dunn, Kartye, Winterton, Fisker Molgaard

  7. P1 7:20Shot by Montour, saved by Murashov4v5
  8. P1 7:38Catton: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Rust, Wotherspoon, Koppanen · SEA Schwartz, Montour, Marchment, Wright, Catton

  9. P1 9:30Shot by Heinen, saved by Grubauer5v4
  10. P1 9:45Shot by Shea, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 10:05Shot by Mantha, saved by Grubauer
  12. P1 11:41Montour: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hayes, Dumba, Graves, Mantha · SEA Gaudreau, Montour, Lindgren, Wright, Catton

  13. P1 14:36Shot by Dunn, saved by Murashov
  14. P1 15:58Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 17:18Shot by Shea, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 17:22Oleksiak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Novak, Shea, Poulin, Kindel · SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, Marchment, Beniers, Evans

  17. P1 18:43Shot by Mantha, saved by Grubauer5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:21Shot by Dewar, saved by Grubauer
  21. P2 0:38Shot by Schwartz, saved by Murashov
  22. P2 1:24Goal by Marchment, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Novak, Shea, Poulin, Kindel · SEA Eberle, Montour, Marchment, Lindgren, Beniers

  23. P2 2:04Shot by Larsson, saved by Murashov
  24. P2 2:42Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  25. P2 3:45Dewar: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rust, Graves, Shea, Dewar · SEA Eberle, Stephenson, Montour, Marchment, Lindgren

  26. P2 3:45Marchment: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rust, Graves, Shea, Dewar · SEA Eberle, Stephenson, Montour, Marchment, Lindgren

  27. P2 4:42Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Grubauer4v4
  28. P2 4:43Shot by Malkin, saved by Grubauer4v4
  29. P2 5:27Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Murashov4v4
  30. P2 6:27Shot by Dumba, saved by Grubauer
  31. P2 6:57Shot by Novak, saved by Grubauer
  32. P2 7:04Shot by Hayes, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 8:03Shot by Evans, saved by Murashov
  34. P2 8:39Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Murashov
  35. P2 9:49Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Murashov
  36. P2 10:06Shot by Fisker Molgaard, saved by Murashov
  37. P2 10:51Shot by Novak, saved by Grubauer
  38. P2 11:29Shot by Rust, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 11:37Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Murashov
  40. P2 13:33Shot by Lizotte, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 14:14Shot by Eberle, saved by Murashov
  42. P2 16:16Goal by Crosby (Dewar)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Wotherspoon, Dewar · SEA Gaudreau, Montour, Lindgren, Wright, Catton

  43. P2 16:40Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 16:49Mantha: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Hayes, Mantha, Wotherspoon · SEA Schwartz, Larsson, Stephenson, Dunn, Tolvanen

  45. P2 16:53Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Murashov4v5
  46. P2 17:51Shot by Eberle, saved by Murashov4v5
  47. P2 19:47Shot by Shea, saved by Grubauer
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 4:09Dunn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Heinen, Shea, Koppanen, Lizotte · SEA Larsson, Dunn, Kartye, Winterton, Fisker Molgaard

  51. P3 5:04Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer5v4
  52. P3 5:12Shot by Novak, saved by Grubauer5v4
  53. P3 5:20Shot by Hayes, saved by Grubauer5v4
  54. P3 5:54Shot by Kindel, saved by Grubauer5v4
  55. P3 5:56Goal by Malkin (Kindel, Crosby)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Kindel · SEA Schwartz, Larsson, Stephenson, Lindgren

  56. P3 8:36Shot by Schwartz, saved by Murashov
  57. P3 9:03Shot by Marchment, saved by Murashov
  58. P3 9:13Shot by Marchment, saved by Murashov
  59. P3 10:28Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer
  60. P3 12:36Goal by Beniers (Marchment, Evans)+40 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumba, Graves, Novak, Poulin, Kindel · SEA Eberle, Dunn, Marchment, Beniers, Evans

  61. P3 13:49Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Murashov
  62. P3 15:17Shot by Lizotte, saved by Grubauer
  63. P3 17:11Shot by Lizotte, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 1:01Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer3v3
  67. OT 1:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer3v3
  68. OT 4:10Goal by Montour (Gaudreau, Evans)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust · SEA Gaudreau, Montour, Catton

  69. OT 4:10Period end3v3
  70. OT 4:10Final3v3