Wed, Nov 26, 2025·Prudential Center, Newark
St. Louis Blues 2, New Jersey Devils 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 27 | 08 | 08 | 00 | 223 |
| NJD | 114 | 19 | 04 | 12 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:16STLCam FowlerAssists: Nathan Walker, Logan Mailloux · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P1 11:02NJDTimo MeierAssists: Nico Hischier, Dougie Hamilton · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 14:37STLRobert ThomasPPAssists: Cam Fowler, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 8:49NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Timo Meier, Luke Hughes · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
- OT 2:58NJDSimon NemecGWGAssists: Nico Hischier, Paul Cotter · Snap, 0.19 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 11:43STLNathan Walker: Interference2 min
- P1 12:48NJDDougie Hamilton: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 7:03STLJustin Faulk: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:20NJDJuho Lammikko: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:00NJDOndrej Palat: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Thomas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSundqvist – Walker – Joseph8:58
xG 0.39–0.07 (86%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Schenn – Suter – Neighbours2:38
xG 0.05–0.03 (64%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Buchnevich – Kyrou – Thomas11:06
xG 0.24–0.23 (51%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Holloway – Snuggerud – Dvorsky2:05
xG 0.01–0.02 (36%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Fowler5:35
xG 0.17–0.02 (87%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Faulk – Tucker9:57
xG 0.35–0.27 (56%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Parayko – Broberg16:25
xG 0.49–0.44 (53%)attempts 10–19goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMeier – Bratt – Hischier12:11
xG 0.32–0.12 (73%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Noesen – Glendening – Lammikko3:17
xG 0.13–0.03 (82%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Palat – Gritsyuk – Mercer9:42
xG 0.31–0.23 (58%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Brown – Glass – Cotter7:08
xG 0.12–0.10 (55%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler13:13
xG 0.70–0.38 (65%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- Dillon – White10:38
xG 0.35–0.09 (80%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Hughes – Nemec19:53
xG 0.37–0.49 (43%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).