Wed, Nov 26, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 05 | 18 | 29 | 12 | 424 |
| CHI | 020 | 29 | 18 | 00 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:41CHIJason DickinsonUnassisted · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 12:08CHIConnor BedardAssists: Sam Rinzel, Tyler Bertuzzi · Snap, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 19:46MINBrock FaberAssists: Marcus Johansson, Matt Boldy · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P3 2:17MINNico SturmAssists: Jonas Brodin, Jake Middleton · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 5:31CHIArtyom LevshunovAssists: Connor Bedard, Colton Dach · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–3
- P3 10:35MINMatt BoldyAssists: Jonas Brodin, Brock Faber · Wrist, 0.24 xG3–3
- OT 1:38MINKirill KaprizovPPGWGAssists: Matt Boldy, Joel Eriksson Ek · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 4:44CHIArtyom Levshunov: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:10MINMatt Boldy: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:25MINJonas Brodin: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:13CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:49MINYakov Trenin: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:24CHIColton Dach: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:24MINJake Middleton: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:00CHIIlya Mikheyev: Holding2 min
- P2 19:56CHILouis Crevier: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:41CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:41MINYakov Trenin: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:46MINJake Middleton: Tripping2 min
- OT 0:53CHIIlya Mikheyev: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eriksson Ek won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Zuccarello – Yurov4:41
xG 0.35–0.19 (65%)attempts 8–2goals 0–1
- Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy5:24
xG 0.59–0.47 (56%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
- Foligno – Trenin – Sturm2:28
xG 0.46–0.39 (54%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Yurov5:55
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Bogosian – Buium10:43
xG 0.78–0.88 (47%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Brodin – Faber15:46
xG 0.96–1.09 (47%)attempts 20–19goals 2–2
- Spurgeon – Middleton12:36
xG 0.07–0.37 (16%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Donato – Mikheyev12:16
xG 1.05–0.43 (71%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Nazar – Moore7:24
xG 0.48–0.54 (47%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Greene – Bedard11:32
xG 0.37–0.45 (45%)attempts 9–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Kaiser3:38
xG 0.62–0.06 (91%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Kaiser – Rinzel5:25
xG 0.64–0.33 (66%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – Levshunov5:03
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).