Wed, Nov 26, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Ottawa Senators 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 81% of the time.
75%
13%
VGK winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 28:01 | 0.13 | 44.6% | +42.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 23:31 | 0.00 | 42.4% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:13 | 0.07 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:01 | 0.20 | 25.6% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.05 | 49.1% | +27.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.55 | 32.1% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 0.02 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.26 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:40 | 0.26 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.04 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.01 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.06 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.15 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:59 | 0.03 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.85 | +0.8 | 64:48 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:26 | 0.55 | 72.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:10 | 0.15 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:48 | 0.33 | 62.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:48 | 0.01 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.46 | 75.7% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.25 | 81.1% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.54 | 66.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.24 | 59.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.28 | 77.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:30 | 0.53 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.19 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.06 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.02 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.12 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:58 | 0.11 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:16 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.85 | −1.2 | 64:35 |