Wed, Nov 26, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 5, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 25 | 112 | 211 | 528 |
| ANA | 013 | 317 | 111 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:49VANLinus KarlssonAssists: Max Sasson, Marcus Pettersson · Snap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 11:47VANEvander KanePPAssists: Tom Willander, Filip Hronek · Snap, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 0:09ANAJackson LaCombePPAssists: Cutter Gauthier · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P2 9:04VANConor GarlandAssists: Brock Boeser, Tom Willander · Backhand, 0.08 xG3–1
- P2 16:19ANALeo CarlssonAssists: Troy Terry, Olen Zellweger · Backhand, 0.06 xG3–2
- P2 18:34ANAMason McTavishAssists: Beckett Sennecke, Jackson LaCombe · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–3
- P3 15:58VANMax SassonAssists: Filip Hronek, Quinn Hughes · Tip-in, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 18:08VANDrew O'ConnorENGWGAssists: Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.52 xG5–3
- P3 19:53ANACutter GauthierAssists: Jackson LaCombe, Chris Kreider · Tip-in, 0.08 xG5–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 1:46ANATroy Terry: Holding2 min
- P1 10:18ANAAlex Killorn: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 13:14VANDavid Kampf: Interference2 min
- P1 19:34VANEvander Kane: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:13VANLinus Karlsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:28VANAatu Räty: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:25ANANikita Nesterenko: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:31VANElias Pettersson: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 7:21VANMax Sasson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 7:21ANAMason McTavish: Embellishment2 min
- P3 12:27VANDrew O'Connor: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Kampf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – Garland – Kampf9:45
xG 0.79–0.37 (68%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Bains – Sasson3:09
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Sherwood – O'Connor – Räty5:36
xG 0.14–0.21 (41%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrusk – Pettersson8:44
xG 0.32–0.98 (24%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes13:37
xG 1.12–0.55 (67%)attempts 24–13goals 2–0
- Pettersson – Hronek2:30
xG 0.39–0.10 (80%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Willander8:30
xG 0.33–0.45 (43%)attempts 4–14goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestJohnston – Harkins – Nesterenko4:54
xG 0.71–0.03 (95%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- McTavish – Gauthier – Sennecke2:43
xG 0.25–0.26 (49%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Kreider – Terry – Carlsson3:03
xG 0.38–0.46 (45%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
- Kreider – Terry – McTavish5:23
xG 0.21–0.32 (39%)attempts 5–5goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestHelleson – LaCombe11:18
xG 1.31–0.43 (75%)attempts 19–10goals 1–2
- Gudas – Mintyukov11:53
xG 0.88–0.61 (59%)attempts 26–12goals 0–1
- Trouba – Zellweger12:41
xG 0.44–0.60 (42%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).