Sat, Nov 29, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 1, Los Angeles Kings 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 16 | 07 | 01 | 120 |
| LAK | 17 | 06 | 09 | 11 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:19LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Adrian Kempe, Brian Dumoulin · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 2:52VANEvander KaneAssists: Drew O'Connor, Tyler Myers · Snap, 0.16 xG1–1
- OT 3:58LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield, Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.18 xG1–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:15VANMax Sasson: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:39LAKKevin Fiala: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:43VANEvander Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:37LAKAlex Turcotte: Holding2 min
- P2 10:13LAKKevin Fiala: Holding2 min
- P2 15:48VANEvander Kane: High sticking2 min
- P3 6:09VANAatu Räty: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pettersson won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKane – DeBrusk – Pettersson5:18
xG 0.19–0.00 (98%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Bains – Sasson6:12
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- O'Connor – Räty – Lekkerimäki4:16
xG 0.08–0.01 (91%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Kane – Pettersson – Lekkerimäki4:22
xG 0.02–0.06 (22%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Pettersson8:24
xG 0.26–0.18 (59%)attempts 5–6goals 1–1
- Myers – Joseph4:04
xG 0.07–0.04 (65%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Hughes – Willander3:49
xG 0.03–0.01 (69%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Turcotte – Malott4:41
xG 0.46–0.09 (84%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Danault – Laferriere – Kuzmenko4:32
xG 0.30–0.08 (79%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Armia – Danault – Laferriere3:33
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Armia – Fiala – Byfield4:44
xG 0.08–0.10 (42%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Moverare6:28
xG 0.67–0.09 (88%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Clarke11:09
xG 0.48–0.11 (81%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci5:37
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).