Sun, Nov 30, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Anaheim Ducks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 310 | 07 | 09 | 326 |
| CHI | 15 | 29 | 24 | 518 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:15ANACutter GauthierAssists: Troy Terry, Leo Carlsson · Snap, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 0:47ANAOlen ZellwegerAssists: Troy Terry, Cutter Gauthier · Snap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P1 10:25ANAChris KreiderAssists: Beckett Sennecke, Mason McTavish · Deflected, 0.21 xG3–0
- P1 17:57CHITyler BertuzziPPAssists: Frank Nazar, Connor Bedard · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 6:43CHIRyan GreeneAssists: Connor Bedard, Andre Burakovsky · Snap, 0.10 xG3–2
- P2 12:34CHIColton DachPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Artyom Levshunov · Snap, 0.10 xG3–3
- P3 9:55CHIConnor BedardGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–4
- P3 18:05CHIConnor BedardENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.41 xG3–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 13:55CHITeuvo Teravainen: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:36ANARyan Strome: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:20ANABeckett Sennecke: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:00ANABeckett Sennecke: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 14:30CHIFrank Nazar: Holding2 min
- P2 16:51CHIFrank Nazar: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:05ANADrew Helleson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Carlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKreider – McTavish – Sennecke9:47
xG 0.61–0.27 (69%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Strome – Johnston – Vatrano8:41
xG 0.27–0.16 (63%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Terry – Gauthier – Carlsson8:43
xG 0.57–0.53 (52%)attempts 14–9goals 2–1
- Killorn – Poehling – Nesterenko8:26
xG 0.14–0.58 (19%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Zellweger9:07
xG 0.45–0.10 (81%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Helleson – Mintyukov9:29
xG 0.18–0.13 (57%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Gudas – Mintyukov5:41
xG 0.28–0.33 (46%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Greene – Bedard7:32
xG 0.61–0.20 (75%)attempts 11–5goals 2–1
- Bertuzzi – Nazar – Moore3:16
xG 0.23–0.04 (86%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Mikheyev – Moore3:05
xG 0.18–0.08 (68%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Dickinson – Donato – Dach2:08
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Rinzel7:12
xG 0.59–0.15 (80%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Levshunov2:43
xG 0.22–0.02 (92%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier8:46
xG 0.45–0.39 (54%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).