Mon, Dec 1, 2025·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 111 | 36 | 525 |
| NJD | 210 | 014 | 19 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:26NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Dawson Mercer · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 3:03NJDOndrej PalatAssists: Arseny Gritsyuk · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–2
- P1 9:54CBJDenton MateychukPPAssists: Charlie Coyle, Ivan Provorov · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 1:28CBJSean MonahanAssists: Cole Sillinger, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–2
- P3 6:40CBJCharlie CoyleAssists: Zach Werenski, Miles Wood · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–2
- P3 7:14CBJSean MonahanGWGAssists: Isac Lundeström · Snap, 0.17 xG4–2
- P3 11:51NJDTimo MeierPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.13 xG4–3
- P3 13:31CBJMiles WoodAssists: Charlie Coyle · Wrist, 0.15 xG5–3
Penalties (21)
- P1 0:40CBJZach Werenski: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 8:23NJDBrenden Dillon: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:43CBJBrendan Smith: Cross checking2 min
- P1 19:27NJDDougie Hamilton: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:01CBJAdam Fantilli: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:01CBJDmitri Voronkov: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:01NJDBrenden Dillon: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:58NJDConnor Brown: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:58NJDConnor Brown: Slashing2 min
- P2 3:58CBJSean Monahan: High sticking2 min
- P2 3:58CBJAdam Fantilli: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:58NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:58NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 5:01CBJDamon Severson: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:22CBJDmitri Voronkov: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:22NJDStefan Noesen: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:34CBJBrendan Smith: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:34NJDPaul Cotter: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:42NJDCody Glass: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:42CBJSean Monahan: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:45CBJCole Sillinger: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fantilli won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Wood – Lundeström8:37
xG 0.28–0.08 (77%)attempts 7–7goals 2–0
- Gaunce – Aston-Reese – Chinakhov3:27
xG 0.10–0.06 (65%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Monahan – Sillinger – Pinelli4:14
xG 0.00–0.41 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Voronkov – Johnson – Fantilli6:32
xG 0.14–0.56 (20%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Smith – Fabbro8:10
xG 0.10–0.12 (46%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Severson – Mateychuk10:00
xG 0.33–0.40 (45%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Werenski – Provorov13:06
xG 0.37–1.22 (23%)attempts 8–19goals 2–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Gritsyuk – Mercer5:23
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Meier – Bratt – Hischier9:46
xG 0.74–0.51 (59%)attempts 15–8goals 0–2
- Brown – Glass – Cotter5:10
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Noesen – Glendening – Lammikko4:53
xG 0.02–0.23 (6%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Cholowski7:01
xG 0.69–0.01 (98%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Hughes – Nemec16:27
xG 0.65–0.61 (52%)attempts 14–15goals 1–2
- Hamilton – Cholowski6:46
xG 0.05–0.18 (22%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).