Wed, Dec 3, 2025·Prudential Center, Newark
Dallas Stars 3, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 06 | 213 | 19 | 328 |
| NJD | 08 | 013 | 09 | 030 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:34DALMiro HeiskanenGWGAssists: Roope Hintz, Jamie Benn · Snap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 17:36DALJason RobertsonAssists: Esa Lindell, Jamie Benn · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–0
- P3 7:05DALMikko RantanenAssists: Esa Lindell, Miro Heiskanen · Wrist, 0.24 xG3–0
Penalties (5)
- P2 7:01DALMikko Rantanen: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:34NJDDougie Hamilton: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:28DALJamie Benn: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:00DALVladislav Kolyachonok: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00NJDStefan Noesen: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Johnston
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestRantanen – Steel – Johnston12:54
xG 0.71–0.28 (72%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Benn – Hintz – Robertson11:32
xG 0.55–0.27 (67%)attempts 12–14goals 2–0
- Bäck – Bourque – Hryckowian11:05
xG 0.36–0.68 (35%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Faksa – Bastian8:41
xG 0.15–0.50 (22%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindell – Heiskanen18:27
xG 1.24–1.19 (51%)attempts 17–15goals 3–0
- Petrovic – Capobianco11:33
xG 0.35–0.32 (52%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Petrovic – Lyubushkin2:28
xG 0.04–0.13 (22%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Gritsyuk – Mercer9:29
xG 1.05–0.32 (77%)attempts 16–5goals 0–0
- Noesen – Glendening – Lammikko5:47
xG 0.36–0.04 (89%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Bratt – Glass3:16
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Glendening – Lammikko – Cotter3:08
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHughes – Nemec7:14
xG 0.79–0.12 (87%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Dillon – Hughes11:44
xG 0.69–0.20 (78%)attempts 20–7goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Cholowski2:10
xG 0.10–0.03 (76%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).