Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 013 | 212 | 011 | 236 |
| LAK | 012 | 08 | 17 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:17CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi, Frank Nazar · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–0
- P2 19:54CHIWyatt KaiserGWGAssists: Frank Nazar, Oliver Moore · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
- P3 10:38LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Warren Foegele · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:00CHIMatt Grzelcyk: Interference2 min
- P1 15:53CHIConnor Bedard: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:23LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:42CHIOliver Moore: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:08LAKJoel Edmundson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:09CHILouis Crevier: Interference2 min
- P3 14:59LAKMikey Anderson: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:34CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Greene – Bedard9:56
xG 0.46–0.29 (61%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Nazar – Moore7:53
xG 0.31–0.35 (47%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Teravainen – Dickinson – Mikheyev10:59
xG 0.35–0.49 (41%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Grzelcyk5:22
xG 0.59–0.06 (91%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Levshunov8:13
xG 0.42–0.09 (82%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier2:13
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Danault – Turcotte4:21
xG 0.24–0.01 (98%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Armia – Fiala – Byfield9:59
xG 0.56–0.42 (57%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore4:19
xG 0.26–0.11 (69%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Foegele – Laferriere – Kuzmenko2:02
xG 0.01–0.06 (16%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Anderson4:41
xG 0.35–0.09 (80%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke9:22
xG 0.44–0.19 (70%)attempts 22–5goals 0–0
- Doughty – Clarke2:55
xG 0.03–0.06 (33%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).