Sat, Dec 6, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Columbus Blue Jackets 6, Florida Panthers 7 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 412 | 16 | 05 | 631 |
| FLA | 19 | 315 | 212 | 14 | 740 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:40CBJDamon SeversonPPAssists: Ivan Provorov, Cole Sillinger · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 9:47FLAEvan RodriguesAssists: Mackie Samoskevich · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 5:26CBJDmitri VoronkovAssists: Ivan Provorov, Zach Werenski · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 5:57CBJMiles WoodAssists: Charlie Coyle, Isac Lundeström · Backhand, 0.08 xG3–1
- P2 10:24CBJKirill MarchenkoAssists: Adam Fantilli, Dmitri Voronkov · Backhand, 0.07 xG4–1
- P2 11:15FLACarter VerhaegheAssists: Seth Jones, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.06 xG4–2
- P2 13:11FLACarter VerhaeghePPAssists: Brad Marchand, Sam Bennett · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–3
- P2 16:12FLASeth JonesPPAssists: Sam Reinhart, Sam Bennett · Snap, 0.06 xG4–4
- P2 18:26CBJCole SillingerAssists: Denton Mateychuk · Wrist, 0.11 xG5–4
- P3 2:27CBJIsac LundeströmAssists: Miles Wood, Brendan Smith · Snap, 0.17 xG6–4
- P3 4:21FLABrad MarchandAssists: Sam Bennett, Carter Verhaeghe · Wrist, 0.21 xG6–5
- P3 14:18FLAAnton LundellAssists: Eetu Luostarinen · Wrist, 0.11 xG6–6
- OT 4:56FLASam BennettGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, Gustav Forsling · Wrist, 0.20 xG6–7
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:42FLAAnton Lundell: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 11:15CBJDmitri Voronkov: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P2 14:27CBJIvan Provorov: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:01CBJZach Werenski: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:28FLAAaron Ekblad: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:01FLAAnton Lundell: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:11CBJBrendan Gaunce: Roughing2 min
- OT 0:58FLASam Reinhart: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundell won the faceoff against Fantilli
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchenko – Voronkov – Fantilli12:48
xG 0.71–0.53 (57%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Monahan – Johnson – Sillinger8:23
xG 0.57–0.44 (56%)attempts 7–5goals 1–2
- Gaunce – Chinakhov – Del Bel Belluz6:41
xG 0.25–0.28 (47%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Coyle – Wood – Lundeström9:36
xG 0.36–0.67 (35%)attempts 6–10goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Fabbro8:56
xG 0.45–0.30 (60%)attempts 8–8goals 2–0
- Werenski – Provorov18:40
xG 0.81–0.69 (54%)attempts 13–13goals 2–1
- Severson – Mateychuk12:23
xG 0.46–0.78 (37%)attempts 7–12goals 1–2
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Verhaeghe – Bennett12:03
xG 1.00–0.77 (56%)attempts 15–11goals 2–1
- Greer – Rodrigues – Samoskevich11:06
xG 0.62–0.44 (59%)attempts 11–7goals 1–3
- Kunin – Boqvist – Studnicka4:24
xG 0.15–0.07 (69%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Reinhart – Luostarinen – Lundell10:35
xG 0.47–0.52 (47%)attempts 8–6goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSebrango – Balinskis10:35
xG 0.63–0.24 (73%)attempts 14–8goals 0–1
- Jones – Mikkola14:08
xG 0.68–0.55 (55%)attempts 13–7goals 3–1
- Forsling – Mikkola2:23
xG 0.08–0.10 (43%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).