Wed, Dec 10, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Los Angeles Kings 2, Seattle Kraken 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 16 | 111 | 00 | 226 |
| SEA | 06 | 116 | 110 | 11 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:21SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Vince Dunn, Chandler Stephenson · Slap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 8:16LAKAlex LaferriereSHAssists: Joel Armia · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–1
- P3 14:40LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–1
- P3 19:34SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Vince Dunn · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–2
- OT 1:21SEAVince DunnPPGWGAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Jordan Eberle · Slap, 0.08 xG2–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 5:13LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:51SEAAdam Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:40LAKCody Ceci: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:47SEARyan Winterton: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:12LAKAnze Kopitar: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:32LAKWarren Foegele: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:54SEAMason Marchment: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:37LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:12SEARyker Evans: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 19:21LAKAnton Forsberg: Tripping2 min · PPG
- OT 1:05LAKAdrian Kempe: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Turcotte – Malott4:57
xG 0.45–0.31 (59%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Armia – Fiala – Byfield8:30
xG 0.19–0.09 (69%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore7:50
xG 0.36–0.38 (49%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe2:56
xG 0.02–0.21 (9%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Ceci11:25
xG 0.55–0.35 (61%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke11:42
xG 0.21–0.27 (45%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson14:41
xG 0.60–0.90 (40%)attempts 15–23goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Winterton – Meyers8:03
xG 0.34–0.04 (89%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers9:42
xG 0.47–0.19 (71%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Kakko – Nyman – Wright7:09
xG 0.37–0.45 (45%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Marchment – Tolvanen9:42
xG 0.25–0.55 (31%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn13:16
xG 0.55–0.26 (68%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Montour – Lindgren13:15
xG 0.53–0.25 (68%)attempts 19–8goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Evans9:33
xG 0.45–0.81 (36%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).