Fri, Dec 12, 2025·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Chicago Blackhawks 2, St. Louis Blues 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 16 | 012 | 111 | 229 |
| STL | 211 | 19 | 06 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:41STLLogan MaillouxAssists: Robert Thomas, Jake Neighbours · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 11:48STLMatt LuffAssists: Robby Fabbri, Colton Parayko · Snap, 0.12 xG0–2
- P1 15:50CHIWyatt KaiserAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Connor Bedard · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 8:57STLJustin FaulkGWGAssists: Tyler Tucker, Robert Thomas · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 14:08CHIAndre BurakovskyAssists: Connor Bedard · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:06CHIColton Dach: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:27CHIColton Dach: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:27STLLogan Mailloux: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:04STLDylan Holloway: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:04CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:54STLJake Neighbours: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:54CHIConnor Bedard: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Schenn won the faceoff against Nazar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Greene – Bedard7:07
xG 0.64–0.27 (70%)attempts 10–4goals 2–0
- Donato – Greene – Moore2:41
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Donato – Lafferty – Dach4:37
xG 0.03–0.09 (24%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Dach – Nazar2:36
xG 0.02–0.12 (14%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Grzelcyk – Levshunov16:49
xG 0.81–0.79 (50%)attempts 15–17goals 1–1
- Grzelcyk – Crevier2:15
xG 0.01–0.08 (12%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Murphy – Kaiser13:13
xG 0.26–0.33 (44%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Joseph – Holloway9:49
xG 0.61–0.15 (80%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Buchnevich – Thomas – Neighbours14:11
xG 0.52–0.41 (56%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Fabbri – Suter – Dvorsky8:54
xG 0.34–0.24 (58%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Sundqvist – Luff – McGing7:06
xG 0.25–0.28 (47%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestParayko – Broberg20:17
xG 1.12–0.64 (64%)attempts 19–17goals 0–1
- Faulk – Fowler4:24
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Faulk – Tucker13:11
xG 0.47–0.41 (54%)attempts 9–14goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).