Sun, Dec 14, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Boston Bruins 2, Minnesota Wild 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 09 | 215 | 231 |
| MIN | 16 | 213 | 312 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:11MINJared SpurgeonPPAssists: Brock Faber, Marcus Johansson · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 8:49MINKirill KaprizovAssists: Matt Boldy, Joel Eriksson Ek · Backhand, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 12:57MINRyan HartmanPPGWGAssists: Brock Faber · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–3
- P3 0:54MINQuinn HughesAssists: Ryan Hartman, Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–4
- P3 8:08MINMatt BoldyAssists: Kirill Kaprizov · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–5
- P3 10:58BOSAlex SteevesAssists: Fraser Minten, Michael Eyssimont · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–5
- P3 14:55MINKirill KaprizovAssists: Ryan Hartman, Daemon Hunt · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–6
- P3 19:59BOSAndrew PeekeAssists: Sean Kuraly, Tanner Jeannot · Snap, 0.60 xG2–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 8:26BOSNikita Zadorov: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:38MINNicolas Aube-Kubel: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:11MINNicolas Aube-Kubel: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:15BOSMichael Eyssimont: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 17:43BOSSean Kuraly: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Yurov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestZacha – Mittelstadt – Khusnutdinov6:16
xG 0.40–0.01 (97%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic10:43
xG 0.40–0.30 (57%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Eyssimont – Steeves – Minten8:15
xG 0.24–0.27 (47%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Mittelstadt4:36
xG 0.06–0.10 (38%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – Peeke6:42
xG 1.04–0.22 (83%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Soderstrom – Lohrei12:45
xG 0.43–0.21 (67%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy5:26
xG 0.40–0.18 (68%)attempts 9–5goals 1–1
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestEriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy6:36
xG 0.54–0.34 (61%)attempts 11–8goals 2–0
- Tarasenko – Kaprizov – Yurov3:52
xG 0.21–0.02 (93%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Jones – Sturm7:35
xG 0.32–0.15 (68%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Johansson – Eriksson Ek – Boldy4:25
xG 0.12–0.01 (94%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHunt – Jiricek11:29
xG 0.71–0.44 (62%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Bogosian – Spurgeon11:59
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Hughes – Faber18:34
xG 0.73–0.67 (52%)attempts 21–27goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).