Wed, Dec 17, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Los Angeles Kings 2, Florida Panthers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 18 | 010 | 111 | 229 |
| FLA | 08 | 213 | 18 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:39LAKJoel ArmiaPPAssists: Brandt Clarke, Alex Laferriere · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 2:14FLAAnton LundellPPAssists: Aaron Ekblad, Mackie Samoskevich · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 7:04FLACarter VerhaegheAssists: Jeff Petry, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P3 0:10FLASam BennettGWGAssists: Brad Marchand · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 4:48LAKKevin FialaUnassisted · Deflected, 0.03 xG2–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:40LAKJoel Armia: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:53FLASam Bennett: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P1 17:35LAKJoel Armia: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:21LAKQuinton Byfield: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:37FLANoah Gregor: Holding2 min
- P2 7:52LAKAdrian Kempe: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:55FLAAnton Lundell: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bennett won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestMoore – Turcotte – Kuzmenko5:03
xG 0.48–0.01 (97%)attempts 13–1goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Laferriere7:17
xG 0.35–0.28 (56%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Fiala – Foegele – Byfield8:56
xG 0.28–0.26 (52%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
- Perry – Kopitar – Kempe2:59
xG 0.06–0.07 (45%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Ceci12:33
xG 0.68–0.25 (73%)attempts 18–12goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson15:26
xG 0.64–0.26 (71%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke12:38
xG 0.30–0.69 (30%)attempts 9–17goals 0–2
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Verhaeghe – Bennett11:45
xG 0.63–0.29 (69%)attempts 19–9goals 2–1
- Kunin – Gregor – Boqvist5:17
xG 0.23–0.25 (48%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Greer – Boqvist – Samoskevich3:51
xG 0.00–0.17 (1%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Reinhart – Luostarinen – Lundell11:29
xG 0.18–0.43 (29%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Mikkola16:26
xG 0.61–0.47 (56%)attempts 19–13goals 0–0
- Ekblad – Forsling15:01
xG 0.39–0.67 (37%)attempts 14–17goals 1–1
- Petry – Balinskis13:45
xG 0.35–0.83 (30%)attempts 12–21goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).