Thu, Dec 18, 2025·TD Garden, Boston
Edmonton Oilers 3, Boston Bruins 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 15 | 110 | 110 | 325 |
| BOS | 17 | 09 | 010 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:38EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsPPAssists: Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 16:27BOSPavel ZachaPPAssists: Elias Lindholm, Charlie McAvoy · Backhand, 0.17 xG1–1
- P2 14:38EDMQuinn HutsonGWGAssists: Max Jones · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 1:41EDMConnor McDavidSHAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Darnell Nurse · Backhand, 0.17 xG3–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 13:08BOSMark Kastelic: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 15:55EDMDarnell Nurse: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 0:58BOSAndrew Peeke: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:30EDMEvan Bouchard: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:19BOSMason Lohrei: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:29BOSMarat Khusnutdinov: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:29EDMVasily Podkolzin: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:22BOSElias Lindholm: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:22BOSElias Lindholm: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Draisaitl won the faceoff against Lindholm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestFrederic – Jones – Hutson3:31
xG 0.24–0.05 (82%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Henrique – Janmark – Mangiapane7:17
xG 0.03–0.01 (82%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – Podkolzin – Savoie6:06
xG 0.02–0.02 (49%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – Frederic – Podkolzin5:05
xG 0.05–0.15 (24%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkholm – Bouchard16:05
xG 0.39–0.06 (87%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Stillman – Emberson9:32
xG 0.41–0.39 (51%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Nurse – Stastney14:42
xG 0.05–0.77 (6%)attempts 2–18goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie13:35
xG 0.43–0.32 (57%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
- Zacha – Mittelstadt – Khusnutdinov9:32
xG 0.51–0.45 (53%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Jeannot – Kastelic – Minten3:01
xG 0.06–0.03 (69%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Jeannot – Kastelic5:57
xG 0.02–0.04 (36%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – McAvoy10:12
xG 0.62–0.42 (60%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
- Lindholm – McAvoy3:23
xG 0.02–0.00 (92%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Soderstrom – Lohrei11:36
xG 0.35–0.37 (48%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).