Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York
Philadelphia Flyers 4, New York Rangers 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 012 | 411 | 05 | 04 | 0 | 432 |
| NYR | 18 | 18 | 210 | 01 | 2 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:24NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 6:42PHITravis SanheimPPAssists: Denver Barkey, Matvei Michkov · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 7:05PHIOwen TippettAssists: Denver Barkey, Cam York · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 10:18PHITrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Noah Cates · Slap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P2 12:23NYRArtemi PanarinUnassisted · Snap, 0.02 xG3–2
- P2 14:36PHIRodrigo AbolsSHAssists: Travis Sanheim · Deflected, 0.17 xG4–2
- P3 9:13NYRVincent TrocheckAssists: J.T. Miller, Gabe Perreault · Backhand, 0.10 xG4–3
- P3 17:26NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Scott Morrow, Will Cuylle · Slap, 0.06 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. NYR Artemi Panarin scored
- 2. PHI Trevor Zegras stopped
- 3. NYR Vincent Trocheck scored
- 4. PHI Travis Konecny stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 13:57PHICarl Grundstrom: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:17NYRWill Cuylle: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 10:15NYRArtemi Panarin: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:48PHINicolas Deslauriers: Boarding2 min
- P2 13:48PHINicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:48NYRBrennan Othmann: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:08NYRNoah Laba: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:16PHINick Seeler: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:00PHIRasmus Ristolainen: Delaying game2 min · PPG
- OT 0:08NYRArtemi Panarin: Slashing2 min
- OT 4:09NYRScott Morrow: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestCouturier – Tippett – Barkey10:46
xG 0.84–0.24 (78%)attempts 13–12goals 1–1
- Konecny – Zegras – Grebenkin5:56
xG 0.49–0.22 (69%)attempts 8–2goals 0–1
- Deslauriers – Abols – Grebenkin2:07
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Abols – Grundstrom2:47
xG 0.11–0.18 (37%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeeler – Ristolainen14:22
xG 0.65–0.44 (59%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
- Andrae – Drysdale14:54
xG 0.81–0.74 (52%)attempts 13–18goals 0–1
- York – Drysdale2:12
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Miller – Perreault7:30
xG 0.62–0.13 (83%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Sheary – Cuylle – Laba5:45
xG 0.16–0.17 (49%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Cuylle – Laba – Perreault3:45
xG 0.10–0.11 (48%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Carrick – Rempe – Othmann4:19
xG 0.17–0.31 (35%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen12:17
xG 0.38–0.19 (67%)attempts 15–6goals 0–1
- Robertson – Morrow11:25
xG 0.67–0.63 (52%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
- Robertson – Schneider2:27
xG 0.00–0.00 (71%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).