Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Anaheim Ducks 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 19 | 110 | 17 | 326 |
| ANA | 210 | 111 | 17 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:14ANAMikael GranlundAssists: Olen Zellweger, Frank Vatrano · Snap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 3:00ANAJacob TroubaAssists: Ryan Poehling, Alex Killorn · Slap, 0.04 xG0–2
- P1 5:54CBJDmitri VoronkovPPAssists: Charlie Coyle, Zach Werenski · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 3:39CBJMason MarchmentAssists: Damon Severson, Ivan Provorov · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 13:36ANAMason McTavishAssists: Ross Johnston · Snap, 0.14 xG2–3
- P3 12:44CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Denton Mateychuk, Kent Johnson · Snap, 0.03 xG3–3
- P3 16:31ANAPavel MintyukovGWGAssists: Mikael Granlund, Radko Gudas · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:31ANABeckett Sennecke: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P1 13:32CBJKent Johnson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 5:15ANABeckett Sennecke: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 16:30CBJMason Marchment: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:49CBJMason Marchment: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fantilli won the faceoff against Carlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMonahan – Voronkov – Sillinger10:03
xG 0.96–0.58 (62%)attempts 23–8goals 0–1
- Coyle – Jenner – Marchenko11:05
xG 0.33–0.40 (45%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Marchment – Johnson – Fantilli14:29
xG 0.89–0.98 (47%)attempts 14–14goals 1–1
- Lundeström – Chinakhov – Del Bel Belluz6:30
xG 0.32–0.70 (32%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Fabbro7:51
xG 1.11–0.49 (69%)attempts 14–7goals 0–2
- Severson – Provorov16:02
xG 0.80–0.59 (57%)attempts 21–15goals 1–0
- Werenski – Mateychuk18:49
xG 0.75–1.12 (40%)attempts 21–18goals 1–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Strome – Vatrano9:44
xG 0.87–0.18 (83%)attempts 11–9goals 2–0
- Kreider – Terry – Carlsson12:28
xG 0.77–0.67 (54%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Killorn – Johnston – Poehling9:38
xG 0.54–0.61 (47%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- McTavish – Gauthier – Sennecke11:01
xG 0.47–0.72 (40%)attempts 12–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Zellweger11:15
xG 0.75–0.55 (58%)attempts 11–10goals 1–1
- Trouba – LaCombe18:56
xG 0.68–0.62 (52%)attempts 14–17goals 1–1
- Gudas – Mintyukov15:41
xG 1.16–1.39 (45%)attempts 18–30goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).