Sat, Dec 20, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Seattle Kraken 4, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 017 | 17 | 38 | 432 |
| SJS | 012 | 112 | 113 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:52SEAEeli TolvanenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 11:22SJSAdam GaudettePPAssists: Igor Chernyshov, Macklin Celebrini · Backhand, 0.20 xG1–1
- P3 0:36SJSCollin GrafUnassisted · Other, 1.00 xG1–2
- P3 1:55SEARyker EvansUnassisted · Wrist, 0.00 xG2–2
- P3 4:27SEARyan LindgrenGWGAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Frederick Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–2
- P3 18:36SEAChandler StephensonENAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Joey Daccord · Backhand, 0.83 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:30SJSRyan Reaves: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 8:23SEAEeli Tolvanen: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:44SEAJamie Oleksiak: Holding2 min
- P2 9:53SEARyan Lindgren: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 19:45SEAJordan Eberle: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Celebrini won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Kakko – Beniers12:41
xG 0.52–0.34 (61%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Winterton – Nyman – Wright9:37
xG 0.41–0.33 (55%)attempts 6–11goals 1–0
- Kartye – Melanson – Meyers5:15
xG 0.01–0.21 (6%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Tolvanen14:12
xG 0.34–1.30 (21%)attempts 10–27goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMahura – Evans8:26
xG 0.38–0.11 (77%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Mahura3:57
xG 0.07–0.13 (35%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- Lindgren – Evans2:52
xG 0.00–0.30 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCelebrini – Graf – Chernyshov12:31
xG 1.96–0.52 (79%)attempts 20–8goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Wennberg – Eklund12:47
xG 1.13–0.49 (70%)attempts 21–11goals 0–1
- Reaves – Goodrow – Ostapchuk6:59
xG 0.20–0.04 (84%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Skinner – Gaudette – Dellandrea7:04
xG 0.08–0.33 (20%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOrlov – Klingberg15:13
xG 2.09–0.29 (88%)attempts 21–8goals 1–0
- Ferraro – Dickinson2:02
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Mukhamadullin14:21
xG 0.41–0.31 (57%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).