Sun, Dec 21, 2025·TD Garden, Boston
Ottawa Senators 6, Boston Bruins 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 311 | 39 | 08 | 628 |
| BOS | 15 | 18 | 07 | 220 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:30OTTDrake BathersonAssists: Nick Jensen, Dylan Cozens · Snap, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 13:44OTTClaude GirouxAssists: Drake Batherson, Dylan Cozens · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–0
- P1 16:47OTTFabian ZetterlundPPGWGAssists: Thomas Chabot, David Perron · Snap, 0.07 xG3–0
- P1 19:07BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Pavel Zacha, Charlie McAvoy · Slap, 0.15 xG3–1
- P2 6:44OTTTim StützleAssists: Brady Tkachuk, Fabian Zetterlund · Wrist, 0.15 xG4–1
- P2 7:03OTTDylan CozensAssists: Drake Batherson, David Perron · Wrist, 0.01 xG5–1
- P2 14:36BOSCharlie McAvoyAssists: Marat Khusnutdinov · Tip-in, 0.03 xG5–2
- P2 17:26OTTFabian ZetterlundPPAssists: Stephen Halliday, Claude Giroux · Slap, 0.11 xG6–2
Penalties (22)
- P1 6:58BOSNikita Zadorov: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:52OTTRidly Greig: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:49BOSElias Lindholm: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 18:16OTTTim Stützle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:40OTTArtem Zub: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:27OTTKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:27BOSTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 16:47BOSAlex Steeves: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:27OTTNick Cousins: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:18OTTKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:18BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:20BOSTanner Jeannot: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:57BOSNikita Zadorov: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:57OTTDylan Cozens: Kneeing2 min
- P3 18:57BOSNikita Zadorov: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:57OTTDylan Cozens: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:59OTTNick Jensen: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:59BOSDavid Pastrnak: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:59OTTRidly Greig: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:59OTTNick Jensen: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:59BOSDavid Pastrnak: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:59OTTRidly Greig: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zacha won the faceoff against Stützle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Ottawa Senators
Forward lines
- bestZetterlund – Tkachuk – Stützle7:58
xG 0.74–0.23 (76%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Giroux – Amadio – Greig8:01
xG 0.48–0.27 (63%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Perron – Batherson – Cozens10:14
xG 0.41–0.28 (60%)attempts 7–11goals 2–1
- Cousins – MacDermid – Halliday3:14
xG 0.10–0.04 (71%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChabot – Spence12:59
xG 1.20–0.37 (76%)attempts 16–15goals 3–0
- Jensen – Matinpalo11:11
xG 0.19–0.27 (41%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
- Sanderson – Zub14:26
xG 0.48–0.65 (43%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Eyssimont – Steeves2:52
xG 0.53–0.04 (92%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Eyssimont – Khusnutdinov4:47
xG 0.36–0.10 (78%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Lindholm – Geekie – Steeves5:08
xG 0.16–0.16 (49%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Jeannot – Kastelic – Minten8:08
xG 0.08–0.14 (36%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – McAvoy13:15
xG 1.14–0.82 (58%)attempts 18–13goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Soderstrom3:08
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Peeke – Lohrei3:24
xG 0.07–0.07 (49%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it OTT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − OTT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).