Mon, Dec 22, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 3, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 010 | 15 | 26 | 321 |
| ANA | 07 | 117 | 017 | 141 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:49SEAFrederick GaudreauPPAssists: Shane Wright, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P2 15:40ANAMikael GranlundAssists: Jacob Trouba, Jackson LaCombe · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–1
- P3 10:04SEAJordan EberleGWGAssists: Matty Beniers, Kaapo Kakko · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 19:24SEAJordan EberleENAssists: Eeli Tolvanen · Backhand, 0.60 xG3–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 0:31SEAMatty Beniers: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:27ANAOlen Zellweger: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:19ANAJacob Trouba: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:24SEARyker Evans: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:00ANACutter Gauthier: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:00SEATye Kartye: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:34ANARoss Johnston: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:34SEATye Kartye: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:34ANARoss Johnston: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Granlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestKartye – Melanson – Meyers7:00
xG 0.39–0.20 (66%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Winterton – Nyman – Wright6:22
xG 0.50–0.35 (59%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Eberle – Kakko – Beniers12:13
xG 0.37–0.59 (38%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Tolvanen11:56
xG 0.26–0.93 (22%)attempts 8–20goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMahura – Evans9:34
xG 0.58–0.33 (64%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Larsson – Evans2:00
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Mahura2:30
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestMcTavish – Gauthier – Sennecke11:47
xG 1.31–0.36 (79%)attempts 25–9goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – Harkins7:00
xG 0.29–0.03 (92%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Kreider – Granlund – Terry11:51
xG 0.45–0.35 (56%)attempts 11–5goals 1–1
- Killorn – Johnston – Poehling8:10
xG 0.28–0.61 (32%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – LaCombe16:52
xG 1.23–0.64 (66%)attempts 25–8goals 1–0
- Moore – Zellweger11:28
xG 0.50–0.18 (74%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Gudas – Mintyukov14:55
xG 0.99–0.68 (59%)attempts 19–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).